AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: AIK Stockholm 5-6 IF Brommapojkarna.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% AIK Stockholm, 26% draw, 30% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AIK Stockholm at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 11 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 15K. NordfeldtG
- 17M. ThychosenD
- 20S. HausnerD
- 3H. MatthysD
- 2E. EdhD
- 18A. AliM
- 46Yannick GeigerM
- 8J. HoveM
- 10L. AssadiF
- 48A. KouameF
- 9L. CarlstrandF
- 45T. AyariM
- 5L. BergquistD
- 16Sixten GustafssonF
- 28L. JäretegM
- 30K. JoelssonG
- 7A. MujanićM
- 33D. TomasD
- 21S. WilsonM
- 34W. OlofssonD
- 1L. CavalliusG
- 27K. BarslundD
- 23J. SimpsonD
- 3A. TroelsenD
- 6O. ZandénD
- 9M. HansenM
- 20W. OdefalkM
- 21S. StrandM
- 17A. KurochkinM
- 14Kamilcan SeverF
- 10O. BergF
- 30L. BjörklundM
- 25D. BlaževićG
- 24W. DerbaliM
- 34David IssoF
- 7O. OkekeM
- 11R. ÖrqvistM
- 2P. VagićD
- 22R. BergvallD
- 12B. AmoleF
Form going into AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna
AIK Stockholm
- L1-2away to Halmstad20 September 2026
- D1-1Mjallby AIF16 September 2026
- L1-4Vasteras SK FK12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Malmo FF7 September 2026
IF Brommapojkarna
- L0-1IFK Goteborg19 September 2026
- L1-3away to Hammarby FF13 September 2026
- W2-1IF Elfsborg6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Gais31 August 2026
What these results say
- AIK Stockholm did not win any of these 4 matches.
- AIK Stockholm scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- AIK Stockholm conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- IF Brommapojkarna conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- IF Brommapojkarna failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for IF Brommapojkarna had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AIK Stockholm | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna
- 10 October 2026AIK Stockholm 5–6 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 13 April 2026IF Brommapojkarna 2–2 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
- 15 September 2025AIK Stockholm 2–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 25 May 2025IF Brommapojkarna 0–1 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
- 25 January 2025IF Brommapojkarna 3–0 AIK StockholmFriendlies Clubs
- 25 August 2024AIK Stockholm 2–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: AIK Stockholm and IF Brommapojkarna
AIK Stockholm
GoalsAssists
- J. Hove82
IF Brommapojkarna
GoalsAssists
- M. Hansen86
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.