6 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

England vs Czechia UEFA Nations League prediction & result

Wembley Stadium, London
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Full time3 – 0

Final score: England 3-0 Czechia.

Before kick-off the model made it 64% England, 21% draw, 15% Czechia — fair odds of 1.56, 4.76 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts England at 64% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Vladimír Coufal (OG)
27'
⚽Harry Kaneassist: Morgan Rogers
40'
45'
🔁Ondrej Lingrout: Matej Radosta
Myles Lewis-Skelly
53'
54'
Michal Sadílek
⚽Harry Kaneassist: Lewis Hall
57'
58'
🔁Lukas Ambrosout: Adam Hložek
🔁Marc Guehiout: Jarrad Branthwaite
63'
🔁Elliot Andersonout: James Garner
63'
67'
Martin Vitik
68'
🔁Jiri Slamaout: Ondrej Zmrzly
68'
🔁Michal Sadílekout: Roman Macek
🔁Lewis Hallout: Morgan Gibbs-White
72'
🔁Jude Bellinghamout: Rio Ngumoha
73'
🔁Harry Kaneout: Dominic Calvert-Lewin
82'
84'
🔁Vladimír Coufalout: Ondrej Kricfalusi

Match stats — England vs Czechia

64%Possession36%
17Shots5
3On target0
6Corners3

Line-ups

England 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. PickfordG
  • 2T. Alexander-ArnoldD
  • 4J. QuansahD
  • 6M. GuéhiD
  • 3L. HallD
  • 8E. AndersonM
  • 16M. Lewis-SkellyM
  • 17M. RogersM
  • 10J. BellinghamM
  • 21E. EzeM
  • 9H. KaneF
Substitutes
  • 13J. TraffordG
  • 15J. BranthwaiteD
  • 19D. Calvert-LewinF
  • 12T. ChalobahD
  • 18J. GarnerM
  • 20M. Gibbs-WhiteM
  • 11A. GordonF
  • 22R. LewisD
  • 14R. NgumohaF
Coach: T. Tuchel
Czechia 4-2-3-1
  • 16L. HorníčekG
  • 5V. CoufalD
  • 14M. VitíkD
  • 4R. HranáčD
  • 7J. SlámaD
  • 21A. KrálM
  • 8M. SadílekM
  • 13L. AmbrosM
  • 15P. ŠulcM
  • 20O. LingrM
  • 9R. NaderiF
Substitutes
  • 23A. KinskýG
  • 1M. KovářG
  • 2O. KričfalušiD
  • 19R. MacekM
  • 18M. RadostaM
  • 22M. SáčekD
  • 11V. SejkF
  • 12M. ŠubertM
  • 6D. VašulínF
Coach: Santi

Form going into England vs Czechia

England

  • W7-0away to Croatia3 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Czechia29 September 2026
  • L2-3Spain26 September 2026

Czechia

  • L1-3away to Spain3 October 2026
  • L0-2England29 September 2026
  • L1-2Croatia26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2England4301143+119
4Czechia4004210-80

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: England vs Czechia

  • 6 October 2026England 3–0 CzechiaUEFA Nations League
  • 29 September 2026Czechia 0–2 EnglandUEFA Nations League
  • 22 June 2021Czechia 0–1 EnglandEuro Championship
  • 11 October 2019Czechia 2–1 EnglandEuro Championship
  • 22 March 2019England 5–0 CzechiaEuro Championship

The full England vs Czechia record →

Leading scorers: England and Czechia

England

GoalsAssists

  • H. Kane61
  • A. Gordon31

Czechia

No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.