2 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia UEFA Nations League prediction & result

Torsvollur, Torshavn
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Faroe Islands, 29% draw, 40% Slovakia — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Slovakia at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

38'
⚽Gunnar Vatnhamar (OG)
Jóannes Danielsen
41'
45'
🔁Leo Sauerout: Lukáš Haraslín
🔁Petur Knudsenout: Adrian Justinussen
55'
🔁Poul Kallsbergout: Áki Samuelsen
55'
63'
🔁David Durisout: Ivan Schranz
63'
🔁Tomas Rigoout: Ondrej Duda
Géza Dávid Turi
65'
⚽Adrian Justinussen
66'
Andrias Edmundsson
69'
70'
🔁Róbert Boženíkout: David Strelec
82'
🔁Martin Valjentout: Dávid Hancko
🔁Jóannes Bjartalíðout: Jorgen Nielsen
84'

Match stats — Faroe Islands vs Slovakia

34%Possession66%
15Shots15
6On target4
2Corners10

Line-ups

Faroe Islands 5-4-1
  • 1M. LamhaugeG
  • 2J. DanielsenD
  • 15O. FærøD
  • 16G. VatnhamarD
  • 5A. EdmundssonD
  • 13M. AgnarssonD
  • 14P. KallsbergM
  • 21G. TuriM
  • 7J. BjartalíðM
  • 20H. SørensenM
  • 11P. KnudsenF
Substitutes
  • 19J. BenjaminsenD
  • 4S. ChukwudiD
  • 3V. í DavidsenD
  • 22M. HellisdalM
  • 17A. JustinussenF
  • 9J. NielsenF
  • 12A. PetersenG
  • 23B. ReynatrodG
  • 10Á. SamuelsenF
Coach: E. Klakstein
Slovakia 4-3-3
  • 23D. GreifG
  • 4M. ValjentD
  • 3D. VavroD
  • 14M. ŠkriniarD
  • 2I. MesíkD
  • 10T. SuslovM
  • 22S. LobotkaM
  • 19T. RigoM
  • 20D. ĎurišF
  • 9R. BoženíkF
  • 7L. SauerF
Substitutes
  • 12D. TakáčG
  • 15D. StrelecF
  • 18I. SchranzF
  • 5Ľ. ŠatkaD
  • 21E. PrekopF
  • 6P. PokornýM
  • 13A. KaprálikF
  • 17L. HaraslínM
  • 16D. HanckoD
Coach: V. Weiss

Form going into Faroe Islands vs Slovakia

Faroe Islands

  • D1-1away to Moldova29 September 2026
  • D1-1Kazakhstan26 September 2026

Slovakia

  • W2-1Kazakhstan29 September 2026
  • W2-0Moldova26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Faroe Islands40405504
1Slovakia431092+710

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Faroe Islands vs Slovakia

  • 2 October 2026Faroe Islands 1–1 SlovakiaUEFA Nations League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.