Gnistan vs Inter Turku Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: Gnistan 0-0 Inter Turku.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Gnistan, 28% draw, 42% Inter Turku — fair odds of 3.33, 3.57 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Veikkausliiga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Inter Turku at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gnistan vs Inter Turku
Line-ups
- 1O. VirtanenG
- 19B. MilovanovD
- 24P. GnanouD
- 67A. ObileyeD
- 3RuxiD
- 12E. Arko-MensahD
- 7A. AtarahM
- 31A. JouhiM
- 15G. EuropaeusM
- 23S. YlätupaM
- 10J. LatonenF
- 2B. DahlströmD
- 26R. EremenkoM
- 14S. EremenkoM
- 27O. HannulaM
- 95M. JuriÄkaG
- 40J. OjalaD
- 11D. PérezF
- 25Noah RossiD
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 18S. SaarinenD
- 22L. KuittinenD
- 6R. IvanovD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 14J. LaineM
- 17B. AmpofoM
- 7H. SjögrellM
- 9J. TuominenM
- 16C. JephtaM
- 10Alie ContehF
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 33Muhammed SusoF
- 28L. LaineF
- 35Eeli KiiskiläM
- 19I. JärvinenM
- 5A. GranlundD
- 11J. BotuéF
- 30Y. AmankwahD
Form going into Gnistan vs Inter Turku
Gnistan
- D1-1HJK Helsinki18 September 2026
- W2-1away to AC Oulu12 September 2026
- D1-1KuPS8 September 2026
Inter Turku
- W1-0away to AC Oulu18 September 2026
- W1-0VPS14 September 2026
- L1-2away to HJK Helsinki9 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gnistan | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 33 | +7 | 42 |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 18 | +15 | 52 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gnistan vs Inter Turku
- 7 October 2026Gnistan 0–0 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
- 26 July 2026Inter Turku 1–2 GnistanVeikkausliiga
- 5 May 2026Gnistan 2–0 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
- 17 January 2026Gnistan 0–3 Inter TurkuLeague Cup
- 22 October 2025Inter Turku 2–1 GnistanVeikkausliiga
- 13 September 2025Gnistan 0–2 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
Leading scorers: Gnistan and Inter Turku
Gnistan
GoalsAssists
- A. Akinyemi30
Inter Turku
GoalsAssists
- H. Sjögrell62
- C. Jephta30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.