Ponte Preta vs Juventude Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Ponte Preta 0-2 Juventude.
Before kick-off the model made it 16% Ponte Preta, 23% draw, 61% Juventude — fair odds of 6.25, 4.35 and 1.64. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Juventude at 61% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ponte Preta vs Juventude
Line-ups
- 30ViniciusG
- 4Diego Monteiro LeaoD
- 15Gabriel Caran de OliveiraD
- 14Danilo BarcelosD
- 23S. PalaciosM
- 5Rodrigo SouzaM
- 22DenisM
- 13Diego PorfírioM
- 7Emanuell Silva FerreiraM
- 19DaniloF
- 9BrandãoF
- 18Joao DamiaoF
- 44Gustavo AlmeidaD
- 16Nicolas SilvaM
- 32Felipe Di Mauro Reis CoutinhoD
- 35Gustavo LopesM
- 17MiguelM
- 6Ryan Henrique Pereira AndradeM
- 1Guilherme VianaG
- 2JulioD
- 93JandreiG
- 34Rodrigo SamD
- 4MessiasD
- 97Gabriel PinheiroD
- 13AderlanM
- 29Gabriel PiresM
- 75RaíM
- 16Diogo BarbosaM
- 11Fábio LimaF
- 25Alisson SafiraF
- 44MandacaF
- 17M. CastroF
- 3TitiD
- 10Marcos PauloF
- 8Lucas MineiroM
- 2Raí RamosD
- 9Alan KardecF
- 22NathanD
- 12Pedro RochaG
- 70Juan ChristianF
Form going into Ponte Preta vs Juventude
Ponte Preta
- L0-2away to Cuiaba3 October 2026
- L0-2away to Botafogo SP29 September 2026
- W1-0CRB20 September 2026
Juventude
- W3-0Operario-PR2 October 2026
- W1-0away to America Mineiro28 September 2026
- L1-2away to Sport Recife19 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 73 | -55 | 13 |
| 3 | Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 21 | +18 | 60 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ponte Preta vs Juventude
- 14 June 2026Juventude 3–0 Ponte PretaSerie B
- 18 November 2023Juventude 0–0 Ponte PretaSerie B
- 19 July 2023Ponte Preta 0–0 JuventudeSerie B
- 30 December 2020Juventude 2–1 Ponte PretaSerie B
- 4 October 2020Ponte Preta 1–3 JuventudeSerie B
- 9 November 2018Juventude 0–1 Ponte PretaSerie B
Leading scorers: Ponte Preta and Juventude
Ponte Preta
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Juventude
GoalsAssists
- Raí74
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.