Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Operario-PR 1-2 Botafogo SP.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Operario-PR, 26% draw, 26% Botafogo SP — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Operario-PR at 48% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP
Line-ups
- 33VagnerG
- 2Mikael DokaD
- 22J. CuenúD
- 43JosephD
- 27Gabriel FelicianoD
- 39Matheus TrindadeM
- 14Hildeberto PereiraM
- 20Vinícius DinizM
- 88Neto ParaíbaM
- 11AylonM
- 99Caio DantasF
- 1Elias Martello CurzelG
- 4KlausD
- 9Vinícius MingottiF
- 21BrennoM
- 5ÍndioM
- 30Pedro VilhenaM
- 8J. ZuluagaM
- 26MaguinhoD
- 32CharlesM
- 1Victor SouzaG
- 2JonathanD
- 4VilarD
- 27DarlanD
- 22Gabriel InocêncioM
- 8Everton MorelliM
- 5L. MacielM
- 6Patrick BreyM
- 10Rafael GavaM
- 9HygorF
- 23Wesley Pinheiro SantosF
- 18Arthur CaíkeF
- 16Matheus SalesM
- 28Marco AntônioM
- 12JordanG
- 26Felipe VieiraD
- 31Pedro HenriqueD
- 30Zé HugoF
- 29Thiago HenriqueM
- 7KelvinF
Form going into Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
- L0-3away to Juventude2 October 2026
- D2-2Ceara26 September 2026
- W2-0away to Criciuma22 September 2026
Botafogo SP
- L0-1Vila Nova3 October 2026
- W2-0Ponte Preta29 September 2026
- D1-1away to Athletic Club MG19 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 48 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP
- 14 June 2026Botafogo SP 2–1 Operario-PRSerie B
- 18 September 2025Botafogo SP 1–1 Operario-PRSerie B
- 17 May 2025Operario-PR 3–0 Botafogo SPSerie B
- 13 October 2024Botafogo SP 0–0 Operario-PRSerie B
- 22 June 2024Operario-PR 0–1 Botafogo SPSerie B
- 29 January 2021Botafogo SP 0–1 Operario-PRSerie B
Leading scorers: Operario-PR and Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
GoalsAssists
- Boschilia134
- Vinícius Diniz71
Botafogo SP
GoalsAssists
- Everton Morelli92
- Hygor80
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.