7 October 2026, 23:30 UTC

CRB vs Atletico Goianiense Serie B prediction & result

Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio
Full time3 – 1

Final score: CRB 3-1 Atletico Goianiense.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% CRB, 29% draw, 35% Atletico Goianiense — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts CRB at 36% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CRB99%Draw1%Atletico Goianiense0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45'
🔁Marrony da Silva Liberato Silveiraout: Cristiano Claudinei Nogueira
52'
Gustavo Maia da Silva
⚽Diogo Hereda da Silvaassist: Crystopher
53'
Pedro Castro
56'
⚽Lyncon·Correa Goncalves
61'
🔁 Thiago Fernandes Rodriguesout: Vinicius Barata
62'
🔁Daniel Sampaio Simõesout: Geovane
62'
67'
🔁Guilherme Lopesout: Yuri
67'
🔁José Domingos de Moraes Netoout: Bruno José
67'
🔁Daniel Nascimento Peixoto dos Santosout: Henrique
•Matheus Simonete Bressanelli
70'
⚽Mikael (pen)
72'
🔁Diogo Hereda da Silvaout: Kevin
80'
🔁Lucas Lovatout: Maycon Ribeiro Mattos Ferreira
81'
🔁Dadá Belmonteout: Ygor Catatau
81'
81'
🔁Geovany Soaresout: Matheuzinho
90+2'
⚽Henriqueassist: Yuri
90+7'
Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes

Match stats — CRB vs Atletico Goianiense

51%Possession49%
21Shots15
9On target2
10Corners7

Line-ups

CRB 4-1-4-1
  • 1Vitor CaetanoG
  • 32HeredaD
  • 22BressanD
  • 33LynconD
  • 36Lucas LovatD
  • 21Pedro CastroM
  • 17ThiaguinhoM
  • 8CrystopherM
  • 10DanielM
  • 97Dadá BelmonteM
  • 28MikaelF
Substitutes
  • 12MatheusG
  • 26EstevãoM
  • 19Luiz PhellypeF
  • 50LuizãoM
  • 16MayconD
  • 27Fábio AlemãoD
  • 18GeovaneM
  • 7Douglas BaggioF
  • 95Ygor CatatauF
Coach: Fábio Matias
Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
  • 1Paulo VítorG
  • 2EwerthonD
  • 3J. BarretoD
  • 4Adriano MartinsD
  • 6Guilherme LopesD
  • 5PeixotoM
  • 8NetinhoM
  • 7Soares GeovanyM
  • 10MarronyM
  • 11Gustavo MaiaM
  • 9Gustavo CoutinhoF
Substitutes
  • 12Paulo HenriqueG
  • 13YuriD
  • 17Henrique Freitas AlvesM
  • 14GebsonD
  • 16CristianoM
  • 19MatheusinhoM
  • 18João PedroF
  • 15Leandro VilelaM
  • 20Bruno JoséM
Coach: Roger

Form going into CRB vs Atletico Goianiense

CRB

  • L1-3away to São Bernardo2 October 2026
  • W3-0Cuiaba27 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Ponte Preta20 September 2026

Atletico Goianiense

  • W2-0America Mineiro3 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Goias26 September 2026
  • L0-1away to São Bernardo19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7CRB33157115147+452
6Atletico Goianiense33141184131+1053

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CRB vs Atletico Goianiense

  • 12 June 2026Atletico Goianiense 3–3 CRBSerie B
  • 26 October 2025CRB 2–1 Atletico GoianienseSerie B
  • 4 July 2025Atletico Goianiense 2–1 CRBSerie B
  • 2 August 2023CRB 2–1 Atletico GoianienseSerie B
  • 21 April 2023Atletico Goianiense 2–1 CRBSerie B
  • 9 November 2019CRB 2–1 Atletico GoianienseSerie B

Leading scorers: CRB and Atletico Goianiense

CRB

GoalsAssists

  • Mikael164
  • Crystopher67

Atletico Goianiense

GoalsAssists

  • Gustavo Coutinho130

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.