Avai vs Londrina Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Avai 2-1 Londrina.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Avai, 28% draw, 32% Londrina — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Avai at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Avai vs Londrina
Line-ups
- 94Bruno FerreiraG
- 22João Vitor Cardoso de SouzaD
- 3AllysonD
- 38Jefferson MacielD
- 36DGD
- 95WendersonM
- 77Zé RicardoM
- 8Luiz HenriqueM
- 10Jean LucasM
- 18HyanF
- 19Caio Suassuna Gonçalves FerreiraF
- 20IsaÃas PereiraF
- 5Del PiageM
- 1Igor BohnG
- 15Guilherme VargasD
- 7Léo ChúF
- 9Léo GamalhoF
- 30Kauã Gabriel Pereira Dos SantosF
- 70GasparF
- 35PedrãoD
- 1LuanG
- 75Kauê LeonardoD
- 44Caio RodriguesD
- 4WallaceD
- 15Gabriel LacerdaD
- 34HeronD
- 17João ConiM
- 77Guilherme DantasM
- 20João VitorM
- 28HerbertM
- 99Igor BahiaF
- 23William PottkerF
- 7Victor HugoF
- 5TárikM
- 11Pablo DyegoF
- 30Mauricio KozlinskiG
- 33KevynD
- 13André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da SilvaD
- 3Victor Feitosa de FreitasM
- 96ThalisM
Form going into Avai vs Londrina
Avai
- L0-1Ceara3 October 2026
- L0-3away to Criciuma27 September 2026
- L1-2away to Goias20 September 2026
Londrina
- L0-2Criciuma2 October 2026
- L0-2away to Vila Nova25 September 2026
- L1-2Fortaleza EC20 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 | Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Avai vs Londrina
- 16 June 2026Londrina 3–2 AvaiSerie B
- 15 October 2023Londrina 1–1 AvaiSerie B
- 24 June 2023Avai 0–0 LondrinaSerie B
- 28 September 2021Avai 2–0 LondrinaSerie B
- 30 June 2021Londrina 1–3 AvaiSerie B
- 3 November 2018Avai 1–1 LondrinaSerie B
Leading scorers: Avai and Londrina
Avai
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.
Londrina
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Santos113
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.