Remo vs Gremio Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Remo 1-1 Gremio.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Remo, 29% draw, 31% Gremio — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Remo at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Remo vs Gremio
Line-ups
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 79MarcelinhoD
- 13MarllonD
- 27Zé IvaldoD
- 6MarlonD
- 14L. PiccoM
- 55Zé RicardoM
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 15Vitor BuenoM
- 21A. GaleanoM
- 19Gabriel TaliariF
- 26David FranciscoM
- 94Ygor VinhasG
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 5Leo AndradeD
- 7Jája SilvaM
- 10JádersonF
- 97IvanG
- 39Eduardo MeloF
- 8PatrickM
- 1WevertonG
- 18João PedroD
- 82WallaceD
- 4W. KannemannD
- 38Caio PaulistaD
- 15Danilo BarbosaM
- 7C. PavónM
- 20M. VillasantiM
- 17DodiM
- 9F. AmuzuM
- 95Carlos ViníciusF
- 3Wagner LeonardoD
- 50Bernardo ZorteaM
- 22M. BraithwaiteF
- 99J. EnamoradoF
- 2F. BalbuenaD
- 12Gabriel GrandoG
- 10F. KrovinovićM
- 14Marcos RochaD
- 5J. NardoniM
Form going into Remo vs Gremio
Remo
- L1-2Santos19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Bahia14 September 2026
- L0-1Flamengo6 September 2026
Gremio
- D0-0Palmeiras20 September 2026
- L2-3away to Botafogo16 September 2026
- L1-2Vasco da Gama12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Remo vs Gremio
- 7 October 2026Remo 1–1 GremioSerie A
- 5 April 2026Gremio 0–0 RemoSerie A
Leading scorers: Remo and Gremio
Remo
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.
Gremio
GoalsAssists
- Carlos Vinícius101
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.