Internacional vs Corinthians Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Internacional 2-1 Corinthians.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Internacional, 31% draw, 30% Corinthians — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Internacional at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Internacional vs Corinthians
Line-ups
- 12AnthoniG
- 35B. AguirreD
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 18JuninhoD
- 25G. MercadoD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 28VitinhoM
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 26A. BernabéiM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 6Matheus BahiaD
- 44Victor JoaoF
- 49J. BezerraF
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 23Matheus CunhaG
- 17N. EliassonM
- 30CalebeM
- 46Pedro KauãD
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 2MatheuzinhoD
- 3Gabriel PaulistaD
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 21Matheus BiduD
- 8R. GarroM
- 14RanieleM
- 37Kaio CésarM
- 10M. DepayM
- 7BrenoM
- 9Yuri AlbertoF
- 11VitinhoF
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 77J. LingardM
- 20P. MilansD
- 23Matheus PereiraM
- 35CharlesM
- 29AllanM
- 49AndreM
- 56Guilherme InácioF
Form going into Internacional vs Corinthians
Internacional
- L0-1away to Sao Paulo20 September 2026
- W2-1away to Chapecoense12 September 2026
- L2-3Santos6 September 2026
Corinthians
- L1-3Fluminense20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Flamengo13 September 2026
- L1-2Chapecoense6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 32 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Internacional vs Corinthians
- 7 October 2026Internacional 2–1 CorinthiansSerie A
- 6 August 2026Corinthians 2–1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
- 2 August 2026Internacional 2–0 CorinthiansCopa Do Brasil
- 5 April 2026Corinthians 0–1 InternacionalSerie A
- 1 October 2025Internacional 1–1 CorinthiansSerie A
- 3 May 2025Corinthians 4–2 InternacionalSerie A
Leading scorers: Internacional and Corinthians
Internacional
GoalsAssists
- J. Carbonero74
Corinthians
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.