Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy NB I prediction & result
Final score: Gyori ETO FC 0-1 Puskas Academy.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Gyori ETO FC, 26% draw, 24% Puskas Academy — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gyori ETO FC at 50% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99S. PetrášG
- 19J. BennetteD
- 37N. UrblíkD
- 27L. BalogunD
- 24M. KrpićD
- 23D. ŠtefuljD
- 77Élan RicardoM
- 7P. AgbaM
- 9L. KulenovićM
- 14M. SzépF
- 96M. HuszárF
- 90K. BánátiM
- 10C. BumbaM
- 34V. ĐukanovićF
- 80Ž. GavrićF
- 88M. GigerF
- 20B. BíróD
- 26Ã. UmathumD
- 30M. MarongF
- 1Botond HajczingerG
- 72B. LehoczkiG
- 96R. OrjánD
- 14W. GollaD
- 21G. HarutyunyanD
- 88B. FarkasD
- 6L. DuarteM
- 74M. KernM
- 10P. DárdaiM
- 16U. NissiläM
- 8D. LukacsM
- 90A. NémethF
- 18B. VekonyM
- 66Z. VargaM
- 22R. SzolnokiD
- 20M. SoisaloF
- 24B. PálD
- 4Michael OkekeM
- 77K. MondovicsF
- 1T. MarkekG
- 80Z. KrupaM
Form going into Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy
Gyori ETO FC
- W2-1away to MTK Budapest20 September 2026
- W3-2Budapest Honved6 September 2026
- L0-3Ferencvarosi TC3 September 2026
- D1-1away to Kisvarda FC30 August 2026
Puskas Academy
- W3-1Budapest Honved18 September 2026
- L0-1away to Zalaegerszegi TE6 September 2026
- L1-2Ferencvarosi TC30 August 2026
- W1-0away to Vasas22 August 2026
What these results say
- Gyori ETO FC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Gyori ETO FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Gyori ETO FC had three goals or more.
- Puskas Academy scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Puskas Academy conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gyori ETO FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy
- 11 October 2026Gyori ETO FC 0–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 10 April 2026Puskas Academy 1–4 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 20 December 2025Gyori ETO FC 2–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 20 September 2025Puskas Academy 0–2 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 12 April 2025Gyori ETO FC 2–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 7 December 2024Puskas Academy 0–3 Gyori ETO FCNB I
Leading scorers: Gyori ETO FC and Puskas Academy
Gyori ETO FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Huszár21
Puskas Academy
GoalsAssists
- A. Németh31
- P. Dárdai22
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.