11 October 2026, 12:45 UTC

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza NB I prediction & result

Zalaegerszeg
Full time5 – 1

Final score: Zalaegerszegi TE 5-1 Nyiregyhaza.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Zalaegerszegi TE, 28% draw, 33% Nyiregyhaza — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Zalaegerszegi TE at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zalaegerszegi TE99%Draw1%Nyiregyhaza0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽Matyas Katona
Matheus Machado
40'
⚽Matheus Machado
49'
52'
Barna Benczenleitner
⚽Fabricio Amato (pen)
54'
Maxsuell Alegria
55'
57'
🔁Zsombor Hösout: Csaba Máté
57'
🔁Barna Benczenleitnerout: Balázs Manner
69'
🔁Marko Regžaout: batoum
András Mátyás Csonka
74'
77'
György Toma
⚽Danylo Krevsun (pen)
80'
80'
🔁György Tomaout: Žan Medved
🔁Maxsuell Alegriaout: Bence Kiss
83'
🔁Bence Babosout: Arthur Henrique Marques Machado
89'
🔁Matheus Machadoout: Lucas Alfonso
90'
Lucas Alfonso
90'
⚽Arthur Henrique Marques Machadoassist: Danylo Krevsun
90+1'
🔁András Mátyás Csonkaout: Aiden Harangi
90+3'
🔁Danylo Krevsunout: Fernando José Vera García
90+3'
⚽Arthur Henrique Marques Machadoassist: Lucas Alfonso
90+5'

Match stats — Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza

46%Possession54%
13Shots5
8On target3
3Corners4
3.29xG0.48

Goals against chances

Zalaegerszegi TE5 from 3.29 xGmore than the chances were worth
Nyiregyhaza1 from 0.48 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zalaegerszegi TE 4-4-2
  • 1B. Gundel-TakácsG
  • 8A. CsonkaD
  • 13T. PeñalbaD
  • 33Antonio DiogoD
  • 18CalderónD
  • 74B. BabosM
  • 30F. AmatoM
  • 6E. KujovićM
  • 23MaxM
  • 9Matheus MachadoF
  • 7Danylo KrevsunF
Substitutes
  • 32L. AlfonsoF
  • 2Aiden Joshua HarangiD
  • 10B. KissM
  • 21T. MaiganaF
  • 4J. PerazaD
  • 77Arthur HenriqueF
  • 47Q. TchicamboudM
  • 17Teixeira GuilhermeF
  • 3Fernando José Vera GarcíaD
Coach: Filipe Çelikkaya
Nyiregyhaza 4-4-2
  • 57M. DalaG
  • 24V. JovanovD
  • 39R. ŽikovićD
  • 31L. KatonaD
  • 66B. BenczenleitnerD
  • 8Zsombor HosM
  • 6Y. TomaM
  • 12M. KovácsM
  • 70M. KatonaM
  • 9M. KvasinaF
  • 23M. RegžaF
Substitutes
  • 99Á. AlaxaiD
  • 29J. BatoumF
  • 25S. IngolitschD
  • 74D. KaczvinszkiD
  • 55B. KatonaM
  • 10B. MannerM
  • 26Ž. MedvedF
  • 21Z. VukkM
  • 22M. MolnarG
Coach: Tamás Bódog

Form going into Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza

Zalaegerszegi TE

  • L1-2away to Ujpest20 September 2026
  • W1-0Puskas Academy6 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Budapest Honved29 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Gyori ETO FC23 August 2026

Nyiregyhaza

  • D1-1Ferencvarosi TC20 September 2026
  • L2-3away to Vasas4 September 2026
  • D1-1Paks29 August 2026
  • L1-2away to MTK Budapest22 August 2026

What these results say

  • Zalaegerszegi TE failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Zalaegerszegi TE conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Nyiregyhaza did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Nyiregyhaza scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Nyiregyhaza conceded in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Zalaegerszegi TE93061218-69
11Nyiregyhaza92251019-98

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza

  • 11 October 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 5–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
  • 25 April 2026Nyiregyhaza 2–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 1 February 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
  • 4 October 2025Nyiregyhaza 3–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 25 May 2025Nyiregyhaza 0–0 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 1 April 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 2–0 NyiregyhazaMagyar Kupa

Leading scorers: Zalaegerszegi TE and Nyiregyhaza

Zalaegerszegi TE

GoalsAssists

  • Arthur Henrique30

Nyiregyhaza

No player in NB I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.