Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG Super League prediction & result
Final score: Hangzhou Greentown 2-4 SHANGHAI SIPG.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Hangzhou Greentown, 25% draw, 33% SHANGHAI SIPG — fair odds of 2.38, 4.00 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hangzhou Greentown at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Line-ups
- 33Bo ZhaoG
- 25Xu JunchiD
- 5Liu HaofanD
- 36Lucas PossignoloD
- 26Guowen SunD
- 22Cheng JinM
- 4Jin-seob ParkM
- 7Qianglong TaoM
- 10Marko TolićM
- 28Alexandru MitrițăM
- 18Hao FangF
- 16Tong LeiD
- 11Wang YudongF
- 6Bao ShengxinM
- 14Wei WuM
- 24Peicheng ZhaoG
- 1Chunyu DongG
- 38Zhang AihuiD
- 17Shiqin WangD
- 3Wang ChangD
- 1Yan JunlingG
- 22Xi YangD
- 13Zhen WeiD
- 40Yusup UmidjanD
- 32Shuai LiD
- 8Jean Claude AziangbeM
- 10Mateus VitalM
- 33Liu ZhurunM
- 21Óscar MelendoM
- 17Prince AmpemM
- 45LeonardoF
- 19Wang ZhenaoD
- 49Xinxiang LiF
- 5Zhang LinpengD
- 47Kuai JiwenF
- 7Wu LeiF
- 12Chen WeiG
- 28Yue XinD
- 23Fu HuanD
- 4Wang ShenchaoD
Form going into Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Hangzhou Greentown
- W4-1Wuhan Three Towns18 September 2026
- L1-2away to Tianjin Teda6 September 2026
- W6-0Yunnan Yukun29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Sichuan Jiuniu22 August 2026
SHANGHAI SIPG
- D0-0Beijing Guoan5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Sichuan Jiuniu28 August 2026
- W2-1Qingdao Jonoon23 August 2026
- D1-1Dalian Zhixing19 August 2026
What these results say
- Hangzhou Greentown scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hangzhou Greentown conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Hangzhou Greentown had three goals or more.
- SHANGHAI SIPG went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- SHANGHAI SIPG scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for SHANGHAI SIPG had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 31 |
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 35 | +9 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- 15 May 2026SHANGHAI SIPG 2–2 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 31 October 2025SHANGHAI SIPG 3–0 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 14 June 2025Hangzhou Greentown 2–2 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
- 17 July 2024Hangzhou Greentown 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPGFA Cup
- 29 June 2024SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 9 March 2024Hangzhou Greentown 0–0 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
Leading scorers: Hangzhou Greentown and SHANGHAI SIPG
Hangzhou Greentown
GoalsAssists
- A. Mitriță1112
SHANGHAI SIPG
GoalsAssists
- Leonardo92
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The result against the call
SHANGHAI SIPG won 4–2 at Hangzhou Greentown. The model had leaned towards a win for Hangzhou Greentown at 42% and given a win for SHANGHAI SIPG 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Xi Yang (own goal) 7' for Hangzhou Greentown, Óscar Melendo 13' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Prince Ampem 18' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Liu Zhurun 47' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Leonardo 56' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Alexandru Mitriță (penalty) 72' for Hangzhou Greentown.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.