Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan Super League prediction & result
Final score: Qingdao Jonoon 0-3 Beijing Guoan.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Qingdao Jonoon, 23% draw, 51% Beijing Guoan — fair odds of 3.85, 4.35 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Chinese Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beijing Guoan at 51% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
Line-ups
- 28Pengfei MuG
- 37Zixian WeiD
- 4Yangyang JinD
- 23Long SongD
- 29Suda LiD
- 7Yaw YeboahM
- 20Ruicong GongM
- 6Malcom EdjoumaM
- 34Yonghao JinM
- 9Xinyu LiuF
- 32Lazar TufegdžićF
- 10Carlos StrandbergF
- 16Hailong LiD
- 21Liu GuobaoM
- 33Liu JiashenD
- 22Cong YangF
- 43Mewlan JapparG
- 1Jun LiuG
- 52Yi XinyangD
- 17Qiao WangD
- 34Hou SenG
- 21Tze-Nam YueD
- 25Uroš SpajićD
- 5Guilherme RamosD
- 26Yang BaiD
- 37Yongjing CaoM
- 8Aboubacar KonteM
- 7Sai Erjini'aoM
- 11Lin LiangmingM
- 29Fabio AbreuF
- 9Zhang YuningF
- 4Li LeiD
- 17Yang LiyuF
- 10Zhang XizheM
- 27Gang WangD
- 6Chi ZhongguoM
- 31Shaoziyang LiuG
- 22Han JiaqiG
- 30Shuangjie FanD
- 47Deng JiefuD
Form going into Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
- L1-2away to Dalian Zhixing5 September 2026
- L1-5Wuhan Three Towns29 August 2026
- L1-2away to SHANGHAI SIPG23 August 2026
- L1-3away to Shandong Luneng14 August 2026
Beijing Guoan
- D0-0away to SHANGHAI SIPG5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Dalian Zhixing28 August 2026
- D3-3Yunnan Yukun22 August 2026
- W3-0away to Shanghai Shenhua18 August 2026
What these results say
- Qingdao Jonoon did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Jonoon scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Jonoon conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Beijing Guoan went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Beijing Guoan failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Beijing Guoan scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | +19 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
- 15 May 2026Beijing Guoan 4–2 Qingdao JonoonSuper League
- 26 October 2025Beijing Guoan 2–4 Qingdao JonoonSuper League
- 17 May 2025Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League
- 19 October 2024Beijing Guoan 6–0 Qingdao JonoonSuper League
- 21 May 2024Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League
- 22 July 2023Beijing Guoan 2–0 Qingdao JonoonSuper League
Leading scorers: Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 34 league goals as a side.
Beijing Guoan
GoalsAssists
- Zhang Yuning127
- Fábio Abreu116
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.