Kayserispor
vs
Batman Petrolspor
1. Lig prediction
Our model says: Kayserispor 2–1 Batman Petrolspor
The model makes it 51% Kayserispor, 24% draw, 25% Batman Petrolspor — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Kayserispor 2.06, Batman Petrolspor 1.30.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: High.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Kayserispor are top on 25 points from 10 games; Batman Petrolspor are 4th on 19 points from 10 games — 1. Lig.
- Kayserispor are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 4-0 win away to Antalyaspor.
- Batman Petrolspor have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-2 win at home to İstanbulspor.
More TFF 1. Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kayserispor at 51% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor
Kayserispor
- W4-0away to Antalyaspor14 October 2026
- W3-2Manisa F.K.10 October 2026
- W1-0away to Mardin 196920 September 2026
- W4-0İstanbulspor14 September 2026
- W3-0away to Esenler Erokspor7 September 2026
Batman Petrolspor
- W4-2İstanbulspor14 October 2026
- L1-2away to Iğdır FK10 October 2026
- L1-2Bursaspor19 September 2026
- L0-4away to Bodrum FK12 September 2026
- W4-3Fatih Karagümrük6 September 2026
What these results say
- Kayserispor won every one of these 5 matches.
- Kayserispor scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Kayserispor kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Batman Petrolspor conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Batman Petrolspor had three goals or more.
- Batman Petrolspor scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Kayserispor
Chance to finish in the top four · 63% today
Batman Petrolspor
Chance to finish in the top four · 19% today
From our 1. Lig season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Leading scorers: Kayserispor and Batman Petrolspor
Kayserispor
GoalsAssists
- T. Seferi91
- D. Moreno70
- B. Keser32
Batman Petrolspor
No player in 1. Lig's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Kayserispor carry a model rating of 6.45 against 6.38 for Batman Petrolspor. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.06 goals for Kayserispor and 1.30 for Batman Petrolspor. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Kayserispor rate 0.64 in attack and 1.44 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Batman Petrolspor rate 0.75 and 1.98.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Kayserispor a 16.8% chance of the title and Batman Petrolspor 2.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Kayserispor the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.06 expected goals for Kayserispor against 1.30 for Batman Petrolspor. Kayserispor's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.44 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.98 for Batman Petrolspor.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Kayserispor at home · Batman Petrolspor away
League matches only, 1. Lig, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. Lig matches this season: Kayserispor 10, Batman Petrolspor 10.
Kayserispor score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Batman Petrolspor have let in 3 there.
Batman Petrolspor score most often in the 31–45 minute window (7 goals); Kayserispor have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Kayserispor
- at Pendikspor25 Oct · 1. Ligwin 38%
- vs Muğlaspor2 Nov · 1. Ligwin 51%
- at Ümraniyespor8 Nov · 1. Ligwin 37%
- vs Sarıyer21 Nov · 1. Ligwin 51%
- at Keçiörengücü29 Nov · 1. Ligwin 25%
Batman Petrolspor
- vs Esenler Erokspor25 Oct · 1. Ligwin 42%
- at Manisa F.K.31 Oct · 1. Ligwin 32%
- at Mardin 19698 Nov · 1. Ligwin 21%
- vs Muğlaspor22 Nov · 1. Ligwin 50%
- at Bandırmaspor29 Nov · 1. Ligwin 23%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.