Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slovan Liberec 0-2 Slovácko.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Slovan Liberec, 28% draw, 18% Slovácko — fair odds of 1.85, 3.57 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Liberec at 54% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 40Tomáš KoubekG
- 18Josef KoželuhD
- 29Lukáš HůlkaD
- 26Jan BořilD
- 27Aziz KayondoD
- 60Fallou FayeM
- 8Lukáš MasopustM
- 16Alexandr BužekM
- 94Ghislain Vénuste BaboulaF
- 9Lukáš MašekF
- 19Vasil KušejF
- 25Matěj MikulenkaF
- 6Aleko BasiladzeF
- 34Joel AshukuF
- 77Daniel RusM
- 12Vojtěch StránskýM
- 33Lukáš PešlG
- 3Jan MikulaD
- 24Patrik DulayM
- 15Milan LexaM
- 29Milan HečaG
- 21Simon SloncikD
- 22Jocelin BehiratcheD
- 4Andrej StojchevskiD
- 2Gigli NdefeM
- 26Tihomir KostadinovM
- 10Michal TrávníkM
- 15Patrik BlahútM
- 20Marek HavlíkF
- 72Lukáš VorlickýF
- 30David PuškáčF
- 6Martin ŠviderskýM
- 77Pavel JuroškaM
- 19Tomas KralD
- 16Gibril SossehM
- 34Pavel HalouskaG
- 28Leos PriorD
- 27Artur DolznikovM
- 9Alan MarinelliF
Form going into Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko
Slovan Liberec
- D0-0away to Artis19 September 2026
- W3-0Mlada Boleslav12 September 2026
- W2-1away to FK Jablonec6 September 2026
- W2-0Hradec Králové30 August 2026
Slovácko
- D2-2Baník Ostrava19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Bohemians 190512 September 2026
- D0-0Pardubice5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Plzen30 August 2026
What these results say
- Slovan Liberec went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Slovan Liberec won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Slovan Liberec scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Slovácko did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Slovácko conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Slovácko had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 20 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko
- 11 October 2026Slovan Liberec 0–2 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 4 April 2026Slovan Liberec 2–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 1 November 2025Slovácko 0–3 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 30 March 2025Slovácko 0–4 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 26 October 2024Slovan Liberec 4–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 6 April 2024Slovan Liberec 4–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Slovan Liberec and Slovácko
Slovan Liberec
GoalsAssists
- P. Dulay31
Slovácko
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.