Vissel Kobe
vs
Jeonbuk Motors
AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Jeonbuk Motors.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Vissel Kobe, 27% draw, 25% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Vissel Kobe 1.69, Jeonbuk Motors 1.05.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
More AFC Champions League Elite predictions
Model insights: Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vissel Kobe at 48% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 71S. GondaG
- 24G. SakaiD
- 4T. YamakawaD
- 16CaetanoD
- 15DiegoD
- 11Y. MutoM
- 7Y. IdeguchiM
- 25Y. KuwasakiM
- 41K. NagatoM
- 10Y. OsakoF
- 94ErikF
- 21S. AraiG
- 1D. MaekawaG
- 3M. ThulerD
- 2N. IinoD
- 31T. IwanamiD
- 43K. YamadaD
- 5Y. GokeM
- 20K. WatanabeM
- 44M. HidakaM
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 77Kim Tae-HyeonD
- 5Park Ji-SuD
- 2Kim Young-BinD
- 66Choi Woo-JinD
- 97Kim Jin-GyuM
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 11Kim Seung-SubM
- 13Kang Sang-YoonM
- 95ItaloM
- 99Bruno MotaF
- 1Lee Ju-hyeonG
- 3Yeon Je-WoonD
- 4Cho Wi-JeD
- 39Seo Jeong-HyeokD
- 27Hwang Seung-junD
- 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
- 16J. GamboaM
- 30DodoM
- 9Tiago OroboF
Form going into Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors
Vissel Kobe
- W2-1away to Port FC16 September 2026
Jeonbuk Motors
- W2-1Kashiwa Reysol16 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 10 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors
- 14 October 2026Vissel Kobe 2–0 Jeonbuk MotorsAFC Champions League Elite
- 22 August 2022Vissel Kobe 1–3 Jeonbuk MotorsAFC Champions League
Leading scorers: Vissel Kobe and Jeonbuk Motors
Vissel Kobe
GoalsAssists
- Y. Osako11
- Y. Muto11
Jeonbuk Motors
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.69 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.05 for Jeonbuk Motors; the game produced 2 and 0.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Yuya Osako 11' (Vissel Kobe), Yuya Kuwasaki 68' (Vissel Kobe).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vissel Kobe the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.69 expected goals for Vissel Kobe against 1.05 for Jeonbuk Motors. Vissel Kobe's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.25 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.21 for Jeonbuk Motors.