AFC Champions League Elite predictions

Monday 26 October — 6 matches

• 13:45 UTC Neftchi Fergana vs Al-Ittihad — model 25% / 25% / 50%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.00 · 4.00 · 2.00. One-sided: Al-Ittihad
• 16:00 UTC Al Ain vs Tractor Sazi — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Evenly matched
• 16:00 UTC Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa — model 84% / 11% / 5%, most likely 3-0, fair odds 1.19 · 9.09 · 20.00. One-sided: Al-Ahli Jeddah
• 18:15 UTC Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Sadd — model 76% / 13% / 11%, most likely 3-1, fair odds 1.32 · 7.69 · 9.09. One-sided: Al-Qadisiyah FC
• 18:15 UTC Al-Nassr vs Al-Wasl FC — model 68% / 19% / 13%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.47 · 5.26 · 7.69. One-sided: Al-Nassr
• 18:15 UTC Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor — model 33% / 28% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.57 · 2.56. Edge: Pakhtakor

Tuesday 27 October — 8 matches

• 10:00 UTC Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle Jets — model 50% / 24% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.00 · 4.17 · 3.85. Evenly matched
• 10:00 UTC SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân — model 52% / 25% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.92 · 4.00 · 4.35. Evenly matched
• 10:00 UTC Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Port FC — model 73% / 15% / 12%, most likely 3-1, fair odds 1.37 · 6.67 · 8.33. One-sided: Johor Darul Takzim FC
• 10:00 UTC Daejeon Citizen vs Vissel Kobe — model 47% / 24% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 4.17 · 3.45. Evenly matched
• 12:15 UTC Beijing Guoan vs Jeonbuk Motors — model 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.57 · 3.23. Evenly matched
• 12:15 UTC Ratchaburi vs Kashiwa Reysol — model 31% / 24% / 45%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 4.17 · 2.22. One-sided: Kashiwa Reysol
• 16:00 UTC Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Esteghlal FC — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70. Evenly matched
• 18:15 UTC Al Shamal vs Al-Hilal — model 14% / 19% / 67%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 7.14 · 5.26 · 1.49. One-sided: Al-Hilal

Wednesday 28 October — 2 matches

• 10:00 UTC Kashima vs Pohang Steelers — model 64% / 23% / 13%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.56 · 4.35 · 7.69. One-sided: Kashima
• 10:00 UTC Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United — model 61% / 22% / 17%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.64 · 4.55 · 5.88. Edge: Gamba Osaka

Last round: the model's hits and misses

12–14 October: the model called the result of 9 of 16 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

• Pakhtakor 1–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC — the model said 16% / 20% / 64%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• Al-Wasl FC 1–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah — the model said 32% / 25% / 43%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
• Tractor Sazi 0–0 Al Shamal — the model said 65% / 22% / 13%, most likely 2-0: result missed.
• Al-Gharafa 1–2 Esteghlal FC — the model said 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
• Al-Nassr 3–1 Neftchi Fergana — the model said 87% / 9% / 4%, most likely 3-0: result correct.
• Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–4 Al Ain — the model said 14% / 22% / 64%, most likely 0-2: result correct.
• Newcastle Jets 1–3 Gamba Osaka — the model said 41% / 24% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Kyoto Sanga 1–0 Ratchaburi — the model said 61% / 20% / 19%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Pohang Steelers 0–2 Johor Darul Takzim FC — the model said 39% / 26% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Daejeon Citizen — the model said 38% / 25% / 37%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Buriram United 0–1 Beijing Guoan — the model said 39% / 27% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Công An Nhân Dân 0–1 Kashima — the model said 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1: exact scoreline.
• Al Sadd 0–2 Al-Hilal — the model said 23% / 20% / 57%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
• Al-Ittihad 1–2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — the model said 47% / 26% / 27%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Kashiwa Reysol 5–1 Port FC — the model said 73% / 16% / 11%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Vissel Kobe 2–0 Jeonbuk Motors — the model said 49% / 27% / 24%, most likely 1-0: result correct.