Saudi Pro League predictions

Friday 16 October — 3 matches

• 13:15 UTC Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha — model 74% / 16% / 10%, most likely 3-0, fair odds 1.35 · 6.25 · 10.00. One-sided: Al-Qadisiyah FC
• 15:00 UTC Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal — model 10% / 16% / 74%, most likely 0-3, fair odds 10.00 · 6.25 · 1.35. One-sided: Al-Hilal
• 18:00 UTC Al-Ittihad vs Al Shabab — model 51% / 25% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.00 · 4.17. Edge: Al-Ittihad

Saturday 17 October — 2 matches

• 15:40 UTC NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq — model 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.85 · 3.45. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon — model 44% / 30% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.33 · 3.85. Edge: Al Diriyah

Sunday 18 October — 1 match

• 18:00 UTC Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach

Monday 19 October — 4 matches

• 15:05 UTC Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — model 16% / 22% / 62%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 6.25 · 4.55 · 1.61. One-sided: Al-Ahli Jeddah
• 15:20 UTC Abha vs Al Kholood — model 37% / 27% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.70 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
• 18:00 UTC Al-Hilal vs Al-Hazm — model 74% / 16% / 10%, most likely 3-0, fair odds 1.35 · 6.25 · 10.00. One-sided: Al-Hilal
• 18:00 UTC Al Shabab vs Al-Faisaly FC — model 42% / 27% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.70 · 3.23. Evenly matched

Tuesday 20 October — 4 matches

• 15:00 UTC Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh — model 47% / 28% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.57 · 4.00. Edge: Al Diriyah
• 15:10 UTC Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — model 15% / 19% / 66%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 6.67 · 5.26 · 1.52. One-sided: Al-Qadisiyah FC
• 18:00 UTC Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad — model 34% / 25% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 4.00 · 2.44. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC Al-Nassr vs NEOM — model 56% / 24% / 20%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.79 · 4.17 · 5.00. Edge: Al-Nassr

Thursday 22 October — 3 matches

• 13:40 UTC Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13. Evenly matched
• 14:45 UTC Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab — model 34% / 27% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.70 · 2.56. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat — model 68% / 19% / 13%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.47 · 5.26 · 7.69. One-sided: Al-Ahli Jeddah

Friday 23 October — 3 matches

• 13:30 UTC Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr — model 16% / 20% / 64%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 6.25 · 5.00 · 1.56. One-sided: Al-Nassr
• 15:30 UTC Al-Ittihad vs Al Diriyah — model 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.45 · 3.70. Edge: Al-Ittihad
• 18:00 UTC Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal — model 36% / 24% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.78 · 4.17 · 2.50. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 3 matches

• 14:00 UTC NEOM vs Abha — model 55% / 25% / 20%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 4.00 · 5.00. Edge: NEOM
• 15:05 UTC Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq — model 32% / 25% / 43%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 4.00 · 2.33. Edge: Al-Ettifaq
• 18:00 UTC Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon — model 37% / 27% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.70 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach

Thursday 29 October — 3 matches

• 14:35 UTC Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm — model 38% / 28% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.57 · 2.94. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood — model 73% / 16% / 11%, most likely 3-0, fair odds 1.37 · 6.25 · 9.09. One-sided: Al-Nassr
• 18:00 UTC Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — model 13% / 17% / 70%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 7.69 · 5.88 · 1.43. One-sided: Al-Qadisiyah FC

Last round: the model's hits and misses

15 October: the model called the result of 1 of 3 matches.

• Al-Faisaly FC 3–2 Al Kholood — the model said 37% / 27% / 36%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Al Khaleej Saihat 2–0 Al-Fayha — the model said 35% / 28% / 37%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Al-Hazm 2–3 Al-Fateh — the model said 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result missed.