1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: 1. FC Heidenheim 0-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% 1. FC Heidenheim, 27% draw, 24% 1. FC Kaiserslautern — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts 1. FC Heidenheim at 49% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33T. DähneG
- 22O. MhamdiD
- 6P. MainkaD
- 19J. FöhrenbachD
- 27M. HeuleD
- 8P. HennrichM
- 3J. SchöppnerM
- 16J. NiehuesM
- 10C. ContehM
- 29M. KaufmannF
- 17M. HonsakF
- 41M. ZrilicM
- 11B. ZivzivadzeF
- 38Y. WagnerF
- 18A. VogtF
- 4T. SierslebenD
- 23L. PaqaradaD
- 28Adam KölleD
- 20L. KerberM
- 1Frank FellerG
- 1J. KrahlG
- 33J. ElvediD
- 4M. GyamfiD
- 14J. RasmussenD
- 26P. JolyM
- 6F. KunzeM
- 8S. ŞahinM
- 22Mika HaasM
- 15N. SkyttäM
- 7M. RitterM
- 20M. BerishaF
- 21M. SauerM
- 37Leon RobinsonM
- 3A. MurphyD
- 45M. LukovićF
- 11I. KanateF
- 2S. AstaD
- 39T. Fidjeu-TazemetaM
- 17E. YardımcıF
- 34Y. OnohiolG
Form going into 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1. FC Heidenheim
- D2-2away to Arminia Bielefeld20 September 2026
- W1-0Holstein Kiel13 September 2026
- W1-0away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth6 September 2026
- W5-3Dynamo Dresden29 August 2026
1. FC Kaiserslautern
- W1-0Eintracht Braunschweig19 September 2026
- L0-3away to 1. FC Magdeburg12 September 2026
- W3-0SV Darmstadt 985 September 2026
- W2-1away to FC St. Pauli30 August 2026
What these results say
- 1. FC Heidenheim went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- 1. FC Heidenheim scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- 1. FC Heidenheim won 3 of these 4 matches.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern won 3 of these 4 matches.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for 1. FC Kaiserslautern had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 1 April 2023FC Kaiserslautern 2–2 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
- 18 September 2022FC Heidenheim 2–2 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 6 May 2018FC Kaiserslautern 1–0 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
- 1 December 2017FC Heidenheim 3–2 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 12 March 2017FC Kaiserslautern 1–1 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
- 24 September 2016FC Heidenheim 3–0 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: 1. FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1. FC Heidenheim
GoalsAssists
- J. Schöppner30
1. FC Kaiserslautern
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.