10 October 2026, 11:00 UTC

1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Avnet-Arena, Magdeburg
Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
Full time3 – 0

Final score: 1. FC Magdeburg 3-0 Hannover 96.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% 1. FC Magdeburg, 26% draw, 32% Hannover 96 — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts 1. FC Magdeburg at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

1. FC Magdeburg99%Draw1%Hannover 960%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Moritz-Broni Kwarteng
3'
18'
Emir Sahiti
⚽Emmanuel Iyoha
30'
45'
🔁Emir Sahitiout: Husseyn Chakroun
45'
🔁Franz Roggowout: Waniss Taibi
🔁Tobias Müllerout: Daniel Heber
60'
Mateusz Zukowski
62'
62'
Boris Tomiak
64'
🔁Benjamin Källmanout: Benedikt Pichler
71'
🔁Jean Hugonetout: Virgil Ghiță
🔁Luka Hyryläinenout: Felipe Chávez
73'
73'
🔁Kolja Oudenneout: Taycan Etcibasi
⚽Mateusz Zukowskiassist: Felipe Chávez
86'
🔁Emmanuel Iyohaout: Richmond Tachie
87'
🔁Mateusz Zukowskiout: Roko Simic
88'
🔁Pierre Nadjombeout: Paul Jäckel
88'

Match stats — 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96

49%Possession51%
18Shots15
8On target4
9Corners7
1.41xG0.93

Goals against chances

1. FC Magdeburg3 from 1.41 xGmore than the chances were worth
Hannover 960 from 0.93 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

1. FC Magdeburg 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. ReimannG
  • 7H. BockhornD
  • 5T. MüllerD
  • 3A. MacNultyD
  • 28P. NadjombeD
  • 38L. HyryläinenM
  • 26T. MüselM
  • 8E. IyohaM
  • 10M. KwartengM
  • 23B. AtikM
  • 22M. ŻukowskiF
Substitutes
  • 35Magnus Elias BaarsF
  • 11F. ChávezM
  • 15D. HeberD
  • 6P. JaeckelD
  • 30N. KruthG
  • 33Leon MergnerM
  • 14Tony ReitzM
  • 9R. ŠimićF
  • 29R. TachieF
Coach: P. Sander
Hannover 96 3-1-4-2
  • 30L. WeinkaufG
  • 3B. TomiakD
  • 4J. HugonetD
  • 17B. AllgeierD
  • 13F. RoggowM
  • 33M. NeubauerM
  • 23S. ÞórðarsonM
  • 10M. HartelM
  • 29K. OudenneM
  • 9B. KällmanF
  • 44E. SahitiF
Substitutes
  • 8W. TaïbiM
  • 38Jasper ReinholdM
  • 11B. PichlerF
  • 20I. OkonD
  • 27H. MatsudaD
  • 1P. LoretzG
  • 5V. GhițăD
  • 28Taycan Macid EtcibasiF
  • 14H. ChakrounF
Coach: S. Wagner

Form going into 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96

1. FC Magdeburg

  • D1-1away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth18 September 2026
  • W3-01. FC Kaiserslautern12 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Hertha BSC6 September 2026
  • W2-0Holstein Kiel30 August 2026

Hannover 96

  • W2-1VfL Bochum20 September 2026
  • L1-2away to 1. FC Nürnberg11 September 2026
  • D2-2Karlsruher SC4 September 2026
  • W1-0away to SV Darmstadt 9830 August 2026

What these results say

  • 1. FC Magdeburg scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Hannover 96 scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Hannover 96 conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Hannover 96 had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
41. FC Magdeburg7412149+513
13Hannover 967214712-57

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96

  • 10 October 20261. FC Magdeburg 3–0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 30 January 20261. FC Magdeburg 1–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 23 August 2025Hannover 96 3–1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
  • 29 March 2025Hannover 96 0–0 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
  • 10 January 2025Hannover 96 0–3 1. FC MagdeburgFriendlies Clubs
  • 14 November 2024Hannover 96 2–2 1. FC MagdeburgFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: 1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96

1. FC Magdeburg

GoalsAssists

  • E. Iyoha50
  • A. Nollenberger31
  • M. Żukowski30

Hannover 96

No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.