Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Holstein Kiel.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Eintracht Braunschweig, 27% draw, 33% Holstein Kiel — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Eintracht Braunschweig at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1R. HoffmannG
- 8M. AydınD
- 21K. EhlersD
- 23I. KoutsidisD
- 22F. Di Michele SanchezD
- 6F. FlickM
- 15Max MarieM
- 17A. OpokuM
- 10S. Di BenedettoM
- 7Yann SturmM
- 27Jan UrbichF
- 25S. BaD
- 29L. FrenkertD
- 30R. HeußerM
- 19Junior Arlet ZéM
- 43D. KovacevicD
- 11J. MijatovićF
- 24S. SanéF
- 26T. WagnerM
- 32B. UphoffG
- 1T. WeinerG
- 32H. SekineD
- 13I. NekićD
- 5N. MadsenD
- 47J. TolkinD
- 28J. MeffertM
- 20A. KaprálikM
- 8G. BalziM
- 27I. UgohM
- 10J. TherkelsenM
- 19P. HarresF
- 11G. de RegtF
- 17F. AlidouF
- 40Leon ParduziD
- 22M. ReimersM
- 41Lio RothenhagenG
- 4S. SchonlauD
- 3Niko Takahashi CendagortaD
- 43T. WieseM
- 9G. KvilitaiaF
Form going into Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
- L0-1away to 1. FC Kaiserslautern19 September 2026
- D2-2Dynamo Dresden12 September 2026
- L1-3away to VfL Osnabrück6 September 2026
- L3-5Hertha BSC28 August 2026
Holstein Kiel
- D1-1VfL Osnabrück19 September 2026
- L0-1away to 1. FC Heidenheim13 September 2026
- D2-21. FC Nürnberg5 September 2026
- L0-2away to 1. FC Magdeburg30 August 2026
What these results say
- Eintracht Braunschweig did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Eintracht Braunschweig conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Eintracht Braunschweig scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Holstein Kiel did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Holstein Kiel conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Holstein Kiel had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
- 2 May 2026Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 7 December 2025Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
- 19 July 2025Eintracht Braunschweig 1–4 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
- 20 March 2025Holstein Kiel 2–2 Eintracht BraunschweigFriendlies Clubs
- 19 January 2024Holstein Kiel 1–2 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 30 July 2023Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Eintracht Braunschweig and Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
GoalsAssists
- Jan Urbich41
Holstein Kiel
GoalsAssists
- P. Harres42
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.