Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Ettifaq 1-1 Al Khaleej Saihat.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Al-Ettifaq, 24% draw, 25% Al Khaleej Saihat — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Ettifaq at 51% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. RodákG
- 61Radhi Al OtaibiD
- 5Pedro HenriqueD
- 70Abdullah KhateebD
- 33Madallah Al OlayanD
- 10Álvaro MedránM
- 42A. KantéM
- 43B. CelinaM
- 17J. LarssonF
- 9M. DembéléF
- 7Khalid Al GhannamF
- 13Meshal Al AlaeliD
- 58Yasir ShammariM
- 92Turki Ba Al JawshG
- 71M. GluščevićF
- 77AbdulelahM
- 3Abdullah MaduD
- 26Riyadh SharahiliM
- 78Marzouq TambaktiD
- 99Saud HarounF
- 49A. MorisG
- 27Fawaz Al SaqourD
- 4K. KouyatéD
- 3Mohammed Al KhabraniD
- 5Pedro RebochoD
- 18Nawaf Al SaadiM
- 8Omar MascarellM
- 12Majed KanabahM
- 11Saleh Al AmriM
- 9M. BenegasF
- 19Miguel CrespoF
- 7J. KingF
- 99M. BarrowF
- 13Ahmad AsiriD
- 14Ali Al ShaafiD
- 90Thamer Al KhaibriF
- 39Saeed Al HamsalD
- 96Marwan Al HaidariG
- 17Abdullah Al HafithD
- 97Sultan Al-DossariM
Form going into Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Ettifaq
- D3-3away to Al-Qadisiyah FC11 September 2026
- D0-0Al-Faisaly FC8 September 2026
- W1-0away to Abha4 September 2026
- L0-3Al Diriyah29 August 2026
Al Khaleej Saihat
- D1-1Al-Nassr12 September 2026
- D0-0Al Riyadh7 September 2026
- L0-3away to NEOM3 September 2026
What these results say
- Al-Ettifaq failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat
- 10 October 2026Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
- 9 May 2026Al Khaleej Saihat 0–5 Al-EttifaqPro League
- 12 January 2026Al-Ettifaq 1–2 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
- 2 May 2025Al-Ettifaq 2–1 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
- 7 December 2024Al Khaleej Saihat 1–2 Al-EttifaqPro League
- 15 February 2024Al Khaleej Saihat 0–2 Al-EttifaqPro League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.