Barnet vs York League Two postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 41% Barnet, 26% draw, 33% York — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Barnet at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Barnet vs York
Barnet
- W3-1Fleetwood Town19 September 2026
- W2-1Accrington Stanley12 September 2026
- D3-3away to Chesterfield5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Exeter City1 September 2026
York
- W3-0Gillingham26 September 2026
- L0-2away to Chesterfield19 September 2026
- W4-0Swindon Town12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Crewe5 September 2026
What these results say
- Barnet went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Barnet scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Barnet conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- York scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Barnet vs York
- 18 February 2025Barnet 3–1 YorkNational League
- 22 October 2024York 3–1 BarnetNational League
- 24 February 2024Barnet 2–0 YorkNational League
- 26 September 2023York 2–4 BarnetNational League
- 3 April 2023York 1–0 BarnetNational League
Leading scorers: Barnet and York
Barnet
GoalsAssists
- C. Lakin62
- K. Tshimanga54
York
GoalsAssists
- A. Newby61
- O. Pearce44
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.