Colchester vs Port Vale League Two postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 37% Colchester, 31% draw, 32% Port Vale — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Colchester at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Colchester vs Port Vale
Colchester
- D2-2away to Shrewsbury26 September 2026
- D1-1Cheltenham19 September 2026
- D1-1Crewe12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Swindon Town5 September 2026
Port Vale
- L0-2away to Walsall19 September 2026
- W1-0Exeter City12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Salford City5 September 2026
- L1-3away to Swindon Town1 September 2026
What these results say
- Colchester did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Colchester scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Colchester conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Port Vale failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Port Vale conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Port Vale had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Colchester vs Port Vale
- 11 March 2025Colchester 2–1 Port ValeLeague Two
- 1 October 2024Port Vale 1–1 ColchesterLeague Two
- 5 March 2022Colchester 1–0 Port ValeLeague Two
- 23 October 2021Port Vale 3–0 ColchesterLeague Two
- 20 March 2021Colchester 0–1 Port ValeLeague Two
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.