Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Cercle Brugge, 25% draw, 33% Anderlecht — fair odds of 2.38, 4.00 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cercle Brugge at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1G. CouckeG
- 15G. MagneeD
- 5E. KakouD
- 24G. KondoD
- 12V. KonateD
- 18L. Le RouxM
- 28H. van der BruggenM
- 11C. HerrmannM
- 20A. MannehM
- 30T. AkinsolaM
- 9S. NgouraF
- 21Y. LienardG
- 2I. DiakiteD
- 33R. CaicedoD
- 10L. AmaniM
- 42L. MondeleM
- 71V. MartensM
- 41K. KouassiF
- 13D. VanzeirF
- 7A. K. OuattaraF
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 50K. BarryD
- 27L. PetrotD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 55M. KanaM
- 30I. KoutsoupiasM
- 18L. AmbrosM
- 14D. SikanM
- 10M. WinklerM
- 21T. BentayebF
- 32J. HeekerenG
- 5O. ReabciukD
- 2Z. KeitaD
- 19T. AasgaardM
- 8R. AmaneM
- 29M. StroeykensM
- 91A. BertacciniF
- 11O. AntmanF
- 9M. CvetkovicF
Form going into Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht
Cercle Brugge
- L2-3away to Charleroi19 September 2026
- D1-1away to OH Leuven12 September 2026
- L0-3Gent6 September 2026
- L0-1Lommel United29 August 2026
Anderlecht
- W3-0Zulte Waregem19 September 2026
- W1-0away to KV Mechelen11 September 2026
- D0-0Genk6 September 2026
- W1-0Kortrijk3 September 2026
What these results say
- Cercle Brugge did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Cercle Brugge conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Anderlecht went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Anderlecht kept a clean sheet in every one of these 4 matches.
- Anderlecht won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht
- 10 October 2026Cercle Brugge 1–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 22 March 2026Anderlecht 2–3 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 3 August 2025Cercle Brugge 0–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 16 March 2025Anderlecht 3–0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 10 November 2024Cercle Brugge 0–5 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 28 April 2024Cercle Brugge 1–1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht
Cercle Brugge
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Anderlecht
GoalsAssists
- T. Bentayeb31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.