Genk vs Kortrijk Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Genk 3-0 Kortrijk.
Before kick-off the model made it 67% Genk, 21% draw, 12% Kortrijk — fair odds of 1.49, 4.76 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Genk at 67% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 321 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Genk vs Kortrijk
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28L. BrughmansG
- 20K. AmaroD
- 6M. SmetsD
- 44J. KongoloD
- 18J. KayembeD
- 4B. TahirovicM
- 38D. HeymansM
- 8B. HeynenM
- 10J. ItoF
- 17R. DurosinmiF
- 32N. Adedeji-SternbergF
- 1T. LeysenG
- 5C. RavychD
- 25M. RoganovicD
- 56A. De WannemackerM
- 21I. BangouraM
- 11J. ErenbjergM
- 23A. BiboutF
- 30A. YokoyamaF
- 33J. AfriyieF
- 1P. GunnarssonG
- 36R. KohonD
- 21A. DrouhinD
- 4H. Murray-CampbellD
- 3M. AndersonD
- 19B. DejaegereM
- 35B. LambertM
- 70A. PhillipsM
- 11S. CampbellF
- 10G. KoyalipouF
- 68T. AmbroseF
- 13E. De VlaeminckG
- 22G. RuyssenD
- 5J. NdjeungoueD
- 15M. Fofana
- 71K. MasuiM
- 6L. De SmetM
- 18J. van LandschootF
- 7S. PodgoreanuF
- 90S. OgbuehiF
Form going into Genk vs Kortrijk
Genk
- L0-3away to Club Brugge KV20 September 2026
- D1-1Gent13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Anderlecht6 September 2026
- W4-0SK Beveren28 August 2026
Kortrijk
- W1-0SK Beveren20 September 2026
- L0-3away to RAAL La Louvière13 September 2026
- L0-2Zulte Waregem6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Anderlecht3 September 2026
What these results say
- Genk failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kortrijk failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kortrijk failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kortrijk conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 17 | Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Genk vs Kortrijk
- 10 October 2026Genk 3–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
- 7 December 2024Genk 3–2 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
- 5 October 2024Kortrijk 2–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 17 December 2023Genk 4–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
- 29 October 2023Kortrijk 0–3 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 26 December 2022Kortrijk 1–0 GenkJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Genk and Kortrijk
Genk
GoalsAssists
- R. Durosinmi60
Kortrijk
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.