Zulte Waregem vs Gent Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Zulte Waregem 0-2 Gent.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Zulte Waregem, 29% draw, 36% Gent — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gent at 36% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zulte Waregem vs Gent
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13B. GabrielG
- 23S. DiakiteD
- 4L. LemoineD
- 5J. KiilerichD
- 55Y. CappelleD
- 8T. ClaesM
- 6E. LofolomoM
- 11M. AkeM
- 10M. MbayeF
- 18A. EmentaF
- 20T. HedlF
- 1L. BostynG
- 45B. De JaegereD
- 15Y. MbodjiD
- 22O. NiangM
- 36S. UjkaM
- 7N. MituljikicF
- 21Z. AtrokM
- 90H. Akpa-ChukwuF
- 53K. VembaF
- 33D. RoefG
- 3M. PaskotsiD
- 16C. BurgessD
- 44S. Van Der HeydenD
- 45H. GooreM
- 22L. LopesM
- 17M. DelorgeM
- 20T. AraujoM
- 7M. BalikwishaF
- 11M. SonkoF
- 75I. CisseF
- 30K. PeersmanG
- 56M. DialloD
- 39A. AyindeD
- 57M. VolckaertD
- 10A. OmgbaM
- 37A. KadriM
- 27T. De VliegerM
- 21M. DeanF
- 59E. H. SeckF
Form going into Zulte Waregem vs Gent
Zulte Waregem
- L0-3away to Anderlecht19 September 2026
- L0-1Charleroi13 September 2026
- W2-0away to Kortrijk6 September 2026
- D2-2away to KVC Westerlo30 August 2026
Gent
- W2-1Standard Liege18 September 2026
- D1-1away to Genk13 September 2026
- W3-0away to Cercle Brugge6 September 2026
- W1-0OH Leuven3 September 2026
What these results say
- Zulte Waregem failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Zulte Waregem conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Gent went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Gent scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Gent won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zulte Waregem vs Gent
- 10 October 2026Zulte Waregem 0–2 GentJupiler Pro League
- 13 March 2026Gent 2–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 19 October 2025Zulte Waregem 4–1 GentJupiler Pro League
- 20 July 2024Gent 0–2 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
- 19 July 2023Gent 4–2 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
- 12 March 2023Zulte Waregem 2–6 GentJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Zulte Waregem and Gent
Zulte Waregem
GoalsAssists
- Á. Zalán30
Gent
GoalsAssists
- J. Y. Vergara Ortega30
- I. Cisse30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.