RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: RAAL La Louvière 1-4 Club Brugge KV.
Before kick-off the model made it 12% RAAL La Louvière, 18% draw, 70% Club Brugge KV — fair odds of 8.33, 5.56 and 1.43. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Brugge KV at 70% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 321 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21M. PeanoG
- 3N. GillotD
- 33P. NkoaD
- 99Y. OkouD
- 25D. LamegoD
- 18S. DelosD
- 29M. CourcoulM
- 10M. WadeM
- 23J. ItoM
- 9E. FiletF
- 11M. IsahF
- 91T. RadeletG
- 22S. GourvilleD
- 5T. LutondaD
- 4W. FayeD
- 44M. BoukamirD
- 48I. CoulibalyM
- 78A. TajaouartM
- 30Z. GruberF
- 90L. Rousseau
- 1Y. SommerG
- 64K. SabbeD
- 58J. SpileersD
- 44B. MecheleD
- 65J. SeysD
- 8F. PottsM
- 20H. VanakenM
- 9C. ForbsM
- 10H. VetlesenM
- 11J. VirgiliM
- 7N. TresoldiF
- 29N. JackersG
- 41H. SiquetD
- 3Lee Han-BeomD
- 32M. DamsD
- 16C. TsawaM
- 85T. N. Koren
- 80F. LemarechalM
- 17R. VermantF
- 67M. DiakhonF
Form going into RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
RAAL La Louvière
- L0-2away to OH Leuven19 September 2026
- W3-0Kortrijk13 September 2026
- L0-4away to St. Truiden5 September 2026
- D2-2KV Mechelen29 August 2026
Club Brugge KV
- W3-0Genk20 September 2026
- W3-1Antwerp13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lommel United4 September 2026
- L1-2away to Gent30 August 2026
What these results say
- RAAL La Louvière failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- RAAL La Louvière conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for RAAL La Louvière had three goals or more.
- Club Brugge KV scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Club Brugge KV won 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Club Brugge KV had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | +15 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
- 10 October 2026RAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 16 January 2026Club Brugge KV 2–3 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 13 September 2025RAAL La Louvière 1–0 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: RAAL La Louvière and Club Brugge KV
RAAL La Louvière
GoalsAssists
- M. Ubandoma50
Club Brugge KV
GoalsAssists
- H. Vetlesen40
- N. Tresoldi40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.