Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Pereira 0-0 Deportivo Cali.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% Deportivo Pereira, 31% draw, 47% Deportivo Cali — fair odds of 4.55, 3.23 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Colombian Primera A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Deportivo Cali at 47% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Yimy GómezG
- 20J. MonroyD
- 15S. AguilarD
- 3N. RengifoD
- 23T. BovoneD
- 21W. PachecoM
- 37L. MorenoM
- 11J. LargachaM
- 10S. AcostaM
- 19M. AguirreM
- 18M. PérezF
- 14Ederson MorenoM
- 16Eber MorenoD
- 29M. DiazF
- 25F. DelgadoD
- 12J. BetancourthG
- 24M. PalaciosM
- 7Á. PlataF
- 27J. MoralesF
- 32Jhoan Sebastian Murillo MorenoD
- 38A. RodríguezG
- 27F. ViáfaraD
- 2J. MoyaD
- 4Fernando Antonio Álvarez AmadorD
- 28E. VelascoD
- 15L. ChaverraM
- 8D. GiraldoM
- 19J. MartínezM
- 10E. ReynosoM
- 20E. BelloM
- 9J. DinennoF
- 12J. CalderaD
- 21N. BenedettiM
- 70C. BaccaF
- 14A. Castillo ManyomaM
- 43Santiago MartinezM
- 32S. Alzate UribeG
- 23S. RodríguezF
- 16K. SandovalD
- 26J. TelloD
Form going into Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Pereira
- L0-4away to Cucuta4 October 2026
- L1-2Santa Fe29 September 2026
- D0-0Internacional de Bogota26 September 2026
Deportivo Cali
- W3-1Alianza Valledupar3 October 2026
- W2-0Águilas Doradas28 September 2026
- W1-0away to Santa Fe23 September 2026
- W3-0Cucuta19 September 2026
What these results say
- Deportivo Cali won every one of these 4 matches.
- Deportivo Cali scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Deportivo Cali kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali
- 10 October 2026Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
- 29 March 2026Deportivo Cali 1–0 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 4 October 2025Deportivo Cali 1–0 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 15 April 2025Deportivo Pereira 2–0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
- 17 July 2024Deportivo Cali 0–2 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 20 January 2024Deportivo Pereira 2–2 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Leading scorers: Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Pereira
No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Deportivo Cali
GoalsAssists
- S. Rodríguez103
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.