Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 1-1 Debreceni VSC.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Ferencvarosi TC, 25% draw, 20% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 55% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 90D. DibuszG
- 54O. NagyD
- 28T. RaemaekersD
- 4M. GómezD
- 20CaduD
- 6Á. NagyM
- 11B. YusufM
- 16K. ZachariassenM
- 17M. CorbuM
- 15D. ArzaniM
- 18Á. BagiF
- 19F. KovačevićF
- 7V. BirmančevićF
- 71C. LakatosD
- 10J. LeviF
- 76K. LisztesF
- 72Ádám MadarászM
- 80H. MaïgaM
- 47C. O'DowdaM
- 14A. OsváthD
- 1P. AndreevG
- 23G. TerczaD
- 4J. MejíasD
- 26Á. LangD
- 3Adrián GuerreroD
- 5B. BatikM
- 25S. BaldoniM
- 10B. DzsudzsákM
- 6B. BoškovićM
- 97C. DenesM
- 11Á. SzendreiF
- 99F. CiblaM
- 24I. EgriF
- 12B. ErdélyiG
- 28M. HofmannD
- 66J. JannehM
- 72R. KellerD
- 19D. KocsisM
- 16Sergi SamperM
- 39B. AdinanyF
Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC
Ferencvarosi TC
- D1-1away to Nyiregyhaza20 September 2026
- D2-2Ujpest6 September 2026
- W3-0away to Gyori ETO FC3 September 2026
- W2-1away to Puskas Academy30 August 2026
Debreceni VSC
- L2-4Vasas19 September 2026
- W4-2away to Paks5 September 2026
- D2-2MTK Budapest28 August 2026
- D0-0away to Kisvarda FC23 August 2026
What these results say
- Ferencvarosi TC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Ferencvarosi TC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ferencvarosi TC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Debreceni VSC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Debreceni VSC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Debreceni VSC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Debreceni VSC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC
- 10 October 2026Ferencvarosi TC 1–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 5 April 2026Debreceni VSC 0–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 14 December 2025Ferencvarosi TC 0–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 31 August 2025Debreceni VSC 0–3 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 9 March 2025Debreceni VSC 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 5 December 2024Debreceni VSC 5–4 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC
Ferencvarosi TC
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Debreceni VSC
GoalsAssists
- Á. Szendrei42
- B. Dzsudzsák40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.