Hradec Králové vs Artis Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Hradec Králové 2-4 Artis.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Hradec Králové, 25% draw, 15% Artis — fair odds of 1.67, 4.00 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hradec Králové at 60% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hradec Králové vs Artis
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Adam ZadražilG
- 7Jakub UhrinčaťD
- 5Filip ČihákD
- 25František ČechD
- 28Jakub KuceraM
- 16Vladimír DaridaM
- 11Samuel DancákM
- 27Daniel TrubačM
- 19Tom SlončíkF
- 17Ondřej MihálikF
- 70Tomáš ČvančaraF
- 4Tomáš PetrášekD
- 58Adam VlkanovaM
- 9Matěj ValentaM
- 24Abdullahi UmarF
- 33Rodrigo AbajasD
- 1Patrik VízekG
- 20Matyas VagnerG
- 3Filip MielkeD
- 30Juraj ChvátalM
- 29Richard KašíkG
- 33Neil GlossoaD
- 4Dominik PlechatýD
- 34Karel PojeznýD
- 15Emmanuel FullyD
- 36Sebastian BoháčM
- 9Albert LabíkM
- 7Alexis AlegueM
- 6Quadri AdediranM
- 90Youssoupha SanyangM
- 12El Hadji Latyr NdiayeF
- 27Dominik PreislerD
- 11Issa FombaM
- 2Stepan HarazimD
- 26Martin PospisilM
- 31Jiri BorekG
- 5Michal JeřábekD
- 21Adam CarlénM
- 8Sacha KomljenovicM
- 20Dominik SarapataM
Form going into Hradec Králové vs Artis
Hradec Králové
- L0-2Teplice20 September 2026
- W2-1away to Zlin13 September 2026
- D0-0Plzen9 September 2026
- W2-1Sparta Praha6 September 2026
Artis
- D0-0Slovan Liberec19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Zbrojovka Brno12 September 2026
- L0-3Plzen5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Pardubice29 August 2026
What these results say
- Hradec Králové conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Artis failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Artis conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Artis had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hradec Králové | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Artis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hradec Králové vs Artis
- 10 October 2026Hradec Králové 2–4 ArtisCzech Liga
- 22 May 2021Hradec Králové 1–1 ArtisFNL
- 6 March 2021Artis 2–1 Hradec KrálovéFNL
- 16 May 2020Hradec Králové 1–1 ArtisFriendlies Clubs
- 8 March 2020Hradec Králové 1–1 ArtisFNL
- 3 August 2019Artis 3–3 Hradec KrálovéFNL
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.