Zlin vs Slavia Praha Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zlin 0-1 Slavia Praha.
Before kick-off the model made it 10% Zlin, 16% draw, 74% Slavia Praha — fair odds of 10.00, 6.25 and 1.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Praha at 74% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 321 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zlin vs Slavia Praha
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 17Stanislav DostalG
- 35Ondřej KukučkaD
- 24Jakub ČernínD
- 39Antonín KřapkaD
- 22Michal FukalaD
- 8David MachalíkM
- 19Cletus NombilM
- 23Miloš KopečnýM
- 3Stefan JiríM
- 82Marián PišojaM
- 9Daniel ŠmigaF
- 88Tomáš PoznarF
- 14Stanley KanuF
- 20Frank AppiahM
- 10Stanislav PetrutaM
- 26Michal CupakM
- 64Stepan BachurekG
- 21David GrygeraD
- 16Prince EmmanuelM
- 4Tom UlbrichM
- 35Jakub MarkovičG
- 3Tomáš HolešD
- 4David ZimaD
- 27Tomáš VlčekD
- 14Samuel IsifeM
- 16David MosesM
- 30Wiktor NowakM
- 15Mubarak SuleimanM
- 20Emmanuel AyaosiF
- 17Lukáš ProvodF
- 25Tomáš ChorýF
- 13Mojmír ChytilF
- 23Michal SadílekM
- 42Mikuláš KonečnýD
- 1Ondřej KolářG
- 29Nazar DomchakG
- 41Miguel SolarteD
- 47David BarcotD
- 6Ange N'GuessanD
- 22Toumani DiakiteM
Form going into Zlin vs Slavia Praha
Zlin
- D1-1away to FK Jablonec20 September 2026
- L1-2Hradec Králové13 September 2026
- L1-3Teplice6 September 2026
- L2-3away to Zbrojovka Brno29 August 2026
Slavia Praha
- W2-1Plzen20 September 2026
- W2-0away to Teplice13 September 2026
- W4-0Zbrojovka Brno5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Sparta Praha30 August 2026
What these results say
- Zlin did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Zlin scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Zlin conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Slavia Praha won every one of these 4 matches.
- Slavia Praha scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Slavia Praha kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 1 |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | +20 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Slavia Praha
- 14 March 2026Zlin 1–3 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 29 October 2025Zlin 0–4 Slavia PrahaCup
- 18 October 2025Slavia Praha 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 14 February 2024Zlin 1–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 6 August 2023Slavia Praha 2–1 ZlinCzech Liga
- 13 November 2022Zlin 0–4 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Zlin and Slavia Praha
Zlin
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Slavia Praha
GoalsAssists
- W. Nowak51
- E. Ayaosi41
- M. Chytil40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.