Ipswich vs Fulham Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Ipswich 2-1 Fulham.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Ipswich, 27% draw, 36% Fulham — fair odds of 2.70, 3.70 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ipswich at 37% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 2,920 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ipswich vs Fulham
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28C. WaltonG
- 42A. OuattaraD
- 6I. DiopD
- 26D. O'SheaD
- 3L. DavisD
- 23S. LukićM
- 12FlorentinoM
- 38D. MaedaM
- 10J. EncisoM
- 11J. PhilogeneM
- 19EmersonnF
- 29C. AkpomF
- 47J. ClarkeF
- 9Z. FlemmingF
- 2D. FurlongD
- 24J. GreavesD
- 5A. MatusiwaM
- 25E. PalaciosM
- 37K. ScherpenG
- 8S. EgeliF
- 1B. LenoG
- 2K. TeteD
- 22D. AffengruberD
- 3C. BasseyD
- 30R. SessegnonD
- 16S. BergeM
- 19S. CharlesM
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 24Joshua KingM
- 17A. IwobiM
- 7Gonzalo GarcíaF
- 11KevinF
- 8César PalaciosM
- 9Rodrigo MunizF
- 20Manuel ÁngelM
- 23B. LecomteG
- 15H. LarssonM
- 21T. CastagneD
- 5J. AndersenD
- 32E. Smith RoweM
Form going into Ipswich vs Fulham
Ipswich
- L0-1away to Everton19 September 2026
- W3-2away to Crystal Palace12 September 2026
- L0-2Liverpool4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Manchester United30 August 2026
Fulham
- D1-1Manchester United20 September 2026
- D0-0away to Liverpool12 September 2026
- L2-3Crystal Palace5 September 2026
- L0-1away to Sunderland30 August 2026
What these results say
- Ipswich conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ipswich failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Fulham did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Fulham conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Fulham had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ipswich vs Fulham
- 10 October 2026Ipswich 2–1 FulhamPremier League
- 5 January 2025Fulham 2–2 IpswichPremier League
- 31 August 2024Ipswich 1–1 FulhamPremier League
- 1 November 2023Ipswich 1–3 FulhamLeague Cup
- 16 September 2020Ipswich 0–1 FulhamLeague Cup
- 2 January 2018Fulham 4–1 IpswichChampionship
Leading scorers: Ipswich and Fulham
Ipswich
GoalsAssists
- Emersonn21
Fulham
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.