Premier League predictions & fixtures

Saturday 17 October — 5 matches

11:30 UTC Everton vs Chelsea — model 39% / 26% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.85 · 2.86. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Fulham vs Hull City — model 33% / 30% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.33 · 2.70. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Manchester City vs Ipswich — model 75% / 15% / 10%, most likely 3-0, fair odds 1.33 · 6.67 · 10.00. One-sided: Manchester City
14:00 UTC Brentford vs Liverpool — model 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.70 · 2.86. Head-to-head record. Tight game · draw in reach
16:30 UTC Newcastle vs Aston Villa — model 33% / 24% / 43%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 4.17 · 2.33. Head-to-head record. Edge: Aston Villa

13:00 UTC Bournemouth vs Sunderland — model 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.85 · 3.45. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
13:00 UTC Brighton vs Crystal Palace — model 61% / 22% / 17%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.64 · 4.55 · 5.88. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Brighton
13:00 UTC Leeds vs Manchester United — model 33% / 27% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.70 · 2.50. Head-to-head record. Edge: Manchester United
15:30 UTC Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — model 19% / 26% / 55%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 5.26 · 3.85 · 1.82. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Arsenal

19:00 UTC Tottenham vs Coventry — model 37% / 29% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.45 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach

19:00 UTC Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest — model 36% / 27% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.78 · 3.70 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach

11:30 UTC Aston Villa vs Manchester City — model 23% / 23% / 54%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.35 · 4.35 · 1.85. One-sided: Manchester City
14:00 UTC Arsenal vs Everton — model 60% / 24% / 16%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.67 · 4.17 · 6.25. One-sided: Arsenal
14:00 UTC Coventry vs Fulham — model 38% / 29% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.45 · 3.03. Evenly matched
16:30 UTC Chelsea vs Tottenham — model 53% / 24% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.89 · 4.17 · 4.35. Edge: Chelsea

14:00 UTC Manchester United vs Bournemouth — model 55% / 23% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.82 · 4.35 · 4.55. Edge: Manchester United
14:00 UTC Liverpool vs Brighton — model 36% / 26% / 38%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.78 · 3.85 · 2.63. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Crystal Palace vs Newcastle — model 40% / 25% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 4.00 · 2.86. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Hull City vs Brentford — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
16:30 UTC Sunderland vs Leeds — model 31% / 29% / 40%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.45 · 2.50. Edge: Leeds

10–12 October: the model called the result of 5 of 10 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

Arsenal 2–1 Leeds — the model said 57% / 25% / 18%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford — the model said 40% / 26% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth — the model said 38% / 25% / 37%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Ipswich 2–1 Fulham — the model said 37% / 27% / 36%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
Sunderland 0–2 Brighton — the model said 26% / 25% / 49%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham — the model said 64% / 21% / 15%, most likely 2-0: result missed.
Crystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest — the model said 31% / 28% / 41%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Hull City 2–2 Everton — the model said 39% / 31% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City — the model said 31% / 25% / 44%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Coventry 4–1 Newcastle — the model said 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1: result missed.