Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Kolos Kovalivka 3-1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Kolos Kovalivka, 29% draw, 27% Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kolos Kovalivka at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Line-ups
- 31I. PakholyukG
- 2Z. RukhadzeD
- 3E. KozikD
- 6M. BurdaD
- 9A. TsurikovD
- 45D. KhrypchukM
- 14I. KaneM
- 7O. DemchenkoM
- 99A. RrapajM
- 17A. SalabayM
- 30D. NdukweF
- 1D. MatsapuraG
- 47Daniil DenysenkoM
- 51V. MorgunG
- 33R. GoncharenkoD
- 44V. ShershenD
- 10L. StankovskiM
- 20N. GagnidzeM
- 90I. KasallaM
- 21D. SukhonosM
- 71N. FedotovG
- 25vitalii horinD
- 13S. RepajD
- 77Nil CochD
- 70I. KyryukhantsevD
- 20V. SydunM
- 5Y. ZaporozhetsM
- 99Carlos RojasM
- 97O. KlymetsM
- 59A. KozakF
- 28A. LipovuzF
- 17Ivan BenderaM
- 27D. VashchenkoM
- 31O. BilykG
- 4V. MorozD
- 3S. GrygorashchukD
- 22A. VavshkoG
- 11A. BoykoD
- 21NeneF
- 14Raúl TavaresM
Form going into Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kolos Kovalivka
- W3-2away to Kudrivka20 September 2026
- L0-2Karpaty11 September 2026
- D2-2away to Kryvbas KR5 September 2026
- D0-0Obolon'-Brovar28 August 2026
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
- L0-2Livyi Bereh19 September 2026
- L0-3away to Dynamo Kyiv14 September 2026
- D0-0Bukovyna6 September 2026
- W3-0away to Kudrivka29 August 2026
What these results say
- Kolos Kovalivka failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kolos Kovalivka conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
- 7 March 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4–0 Kolos KovalivkaPremier League
- 30 August 2025Kolos Kovalivka 1–0 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPremier League
- 26 July 2025Kolos Kovalivka 5–0 Epitsentr DunayivtsiFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kolos Kovalivka
GoalsAssists
- D. Ndukwe20
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
GoalsAssists
- V. Sydun20
- A. Kozak13
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.