Real Betis vs Osasuna La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Real Betis 5-2 Osasuna.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Real Betis, 22% draw, 15% Osasuna — fair odds of 1.59, 4.55 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Real Betis at 63% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 896 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Betis vs Osasuna
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Álvaro VallésG
- 2Héctor BellerínD
- 3Diego LlorenteD
- 4NatanD
- 11Fran GarcíaD
- 8Pablo FornalsM
- 21Marc RocaM
- 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
- 22IscoM
- 10A. EzzalzouliM
- 9C. HernándezF
- 5Marc BartraD
- 6F. BernalM
- 25Dani CeballosM
- 13Diego CondeG
- 18N. DeossaM
- 15Álvaro FidalgoM
- 16V. GómezD
- 20G. Lo CelsoM
- 27J. A. MoranteF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 27Íñigo ArguibideD
- 24CatenaD
- 35U. SantosD
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 7MoncayolaM
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 16Moi GómezM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 9Raúl GarcíaF
- 48R. YeboahD
- 19V. RosierD
- 15Diego RicoD
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 26Mauro EchegoyenM
- 21Jonathan DubasinF
- 22F. BoyomoD
Form going into Real Betis vs Osasuna
Real Betis
- D1-1away to Deportivo La Coruna20 September 2026
- W1-0Getafe17 September 2026
- W2-1away to Villarreal14 September 2026
- W1-0Real Madrid4 September 2026
Osasuna
- D1-1Rayo Vallecano19 September 2026
- L0-4away to Atletico Madrid16 September 2026
- L0-2Espanyol12 September 2026
- L2-5away to Alaves6 September 2026
What these results say
- Real Betis went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Real Betis scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Real Betis won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Osasuna did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Osasuna conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 19 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Betis vs Osasuna
- 11 October 2026Real Betis 5–2 OsasunaLa Liga
- 12 April 2026Osasuna 1–1 Real BetisLa Liga
- 28 September 2025Real Betis 2–0 OsasunaLa Liga
- 11 May 2025Real Betis 1–1 OsasunaLa Liga
- 19 October 2024Osasuna 1–2 Real BetisLa Liga
- 5 May 2024Osasuna 0–2 Real BetisLa Liga
Leading scorers: Real Betis and Osasuna
Real Betis
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Osasuna
GoalsAssists
- A. Budimir60
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.