La Liga predictions & fixtures

Friday 16 October — 1 match

19:00 UTC Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante — model 48% / 25% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 4.00 · 3.70. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched

12:00 UTC Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid — model 25% / 27% / 48%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.00 · 3.70 · 2.08. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Atletico Madrid
14:15 UTC Villarreal vs Elche — model 61% / 21% / 18%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.64 · 4.76 · 5.56. Head-to-head record. Edge: Villarreal
16:30 UTC Real Betis vs Barcelona — model 30% / 26% / 44%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.33 · 3.85 · 2.27. Head-to-head record. Edge: Barcelona
19:00 UTC Valencia vs Athletic Club — model 36% / 30% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.33 · 2.94. Head-to-head record. Tight game · draw in reach

12:00 UTC Osasuna vs Racing Santander — model 48% / 23% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 4.35 · 3.45. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
14:15 UTC Celta Vigo vs Alaves — model 43% / 30% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.33 · 3.70. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
16:30 UTC Malaga vs Real Sociedad — model 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.85 · 3.70 · 2.13. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Real Sociedad
19:00 UTC Real Madrid vs Sevilla — model 69% / 19% / 12%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.45 · 5.26 · 8.33. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Real Madrid

19:00 UTC Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano — model 34% / 34% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.94 · 2.94 · 3.13. Head-to-head record. Tight game · draw in reach

18:00 UTC Levante vs Athletic Club — model 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.70 · 3.03. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched

19:00 UTC Alaves vs Malaga — model 55% / 27% / 18%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.70 · 5.56. Edge: Alaves

12:00 UTC Rayo Vallecano vs Elche — model 47% / 26% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 3.85 · 3.70. Evenly matched
14:15 UTC Racing Santander vs Espanyol — model 39% / 25% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 4.00 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
16:30 UTC Valencia vs Villarreal — model 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 3.70 · 2.22. Edge: Villarreal
19:00 UTC Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna — model 63% / 21% / 16%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.59 · 4.76 · 6.25. One-sided: Atletico Madrid

13:00 UTC Athletic Club vs Getafe — model 45% / 33% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.03 · 4.55. Edge: Athletic Club
15:15 UTC Celta Vigo vs Real Betis — model 33% / 30% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.33 · 2.70. Edge: Real Betis
17:30 UTC Real Sociedad vs Levante — model 54% / 22% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.85 · 4.55 · 4.17. Evenly matched
20:00 UTC Barcelona vs Real Madrid — model 49% / 25% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.04 · 4.00 · 3.85. Evenly matched

20:00 UTC Sevilla vs Osasuna — model 52% / 25% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.92 · 4.00 · 4.35. Edge: Sevilla

9–12 October: the model called the result of 5 of 9 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

Malaga 1–1 Espanyol — the model said 30% / 32% / 38%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid — the model said 29% / 27% / 44%, most likely 1-2: exact scoreline.
Barcelona 3–0 Getafe — the model said 70% / 21% / 9%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal — the model said 60% / 21% / 19%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo — the model said 38% / 28% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Real Sociedad 3–2 Deportivo La Coruna — the model said 49% / 25% / 26%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Real Betis 5–2 Osasuna — the model said 63% / 22% / 15%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia — the model said 41% / 25% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Levante 3–3 Sevilla — the model said 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result missed.