Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Kholood 0-5 Al-Qadisiyah FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% Al Kholood, 20% draw, 61% Al-Qadisiyah FC — fair odds of 5.26, 5.00 and 1.64. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Qadisiyah FC at 61% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Hamed Abdullah YousefG
- 24O. AbdulghaniD
- 47Abdulrahman Al ObaidD
- 25Mansour CamaraD
- 7Sultan Al ShehriD
- 6J. BuckleyM
- 8S. CisséM
- 70Muhammad SawanM
- 10Iker KortajarenaM
- 11CobaM
- 22J. DominguesF
- 67Mohammed Al RashidiM
- 39Abdulrahman Al DosariM
- 30Mohammed Mazyad AlshammariG
- 48Muhannad Al YahyaG
- 26Yaseen Al ZubaidiF
- 41Ibrahem BarabaaM
- 77A. EssombaF
- 52R. JamanM
- 99GugaF
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 4Jehad Abdullatif AhmD
- 6NachoD
- 17G. ÁlvarezD
- 2Mohammed Abu Al ShamatM
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 5J. WeiglM
- 10Musab Al JuwayrM
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 33J. QuiñonesF
- 15Mohammed Al QahtaniF
- 9Abdullah Al SalemF
- 12Yasir Al ShahraniD
- 35A. Al SiyahiM
- 19Haitham AsiriF
- 27E. HoussaM
- 28Ahmed Al KassarG
- 18Abdulmalik Al-JaberM
- 7Turki Al AmmarM
Form going into Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Kholood
- L0-2away to Al Riyadh13 September 2026
- W2-1Al Shabab9 September 2026
- D2-2away to Al-Fayha3 September 2026
Al-Qadisiyah FC
- D3-3Al-Ettifaq11 September 2026
- W3-2Al-Ahli Jeddah8 September 2026
- W2-0away to Al Diriyah3 September 2026
- W3-1Al-Faisaly FC30 August 2026
What these results say
- Al-Qadisiyah FC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Al-Qadisiyah FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Al-Qadisiyah FC won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
- 7 March 2026Al Kholood 1–4 Al-Qadisiyah FCPro League
- 6 November 2025Al-Qadisiyah FC 4–0 Al KholoodPro League
- 2 May 2025Al-Qadisiyah FC 4–1 Al KholoodPro League
- 6 December 2024Al Kholood 0–3 Al-Qadisiyah FCPro League
- 9 March 2024Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–0 Al KholoodDivision 1
- 25 October 2023Al Kholood 0–2 Al-Qadisiyah FCDivision 1
Leading scorers: Al Kholood and Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Kholood
GoalsAssists
- Iker Kortajarena41
- J. Domingues32
Al-Qadisiyah FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Retegui51
- J. Quiñones43
- T. Reijnders40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.