Brann
vs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Brann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 71% Brann, 18% draw, 11% Lincoln Red Imps FC — fair odds of 1.41, 5.56 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Brann 2.57, Lincoln Red Imps FC 0.73.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
More Conference League predictions
Model insights: Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brann at 71% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 321 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
Brann
- L0-2Viking9 October 2026
- W2-1Bodo/Glimt20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Start13 September 2026
- L1-2Lillestrom5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sandefjord30 August 2026
Lincoln Red Imps FC
- W3-0away to Larne27 August 2026
- L0-2Larne20 August 2026
- L0-1away to Omonia Nicosia13 August 2026
- D1-1Omonia Nicosia6 August 2026
- D0-0Mjallby AIF28 July 2026
What these results say
- Brann failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brann conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Lincoln Red Imps FC had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brann | Eliteserien | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 34 | +5 | 29 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Lincoln Red Imps FC has not started the league season yet. Full tables: Eliteserien · UEFA Europa Conference League
Head-to-head: Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
- 15 October 2026Brann 1–1 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm63
- K. Ingason62
Lincoln Red Imps FC
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Written before kick-off and left as it stood — the reading below is the model's pre-match case, not a view formed after the result.
The two sides
Brann carry a model rating of 6.66 against 6.21 for Lincoln Red Imps FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.57 goals for Brann and 0.73 for Lincoln Red Imps FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Brann rate 0.81 in attack and 1.18 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Lincoln Red Imps FC rate 0.51 and 1.84.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brann the highest probability at 71%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.57 expected goals for Brann against 0.73 for Lincoln Red Imps FC. Brann's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.18 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.84 for Lincoln Red Imps FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.