Conference League predictions

Thursday 22 October — 18 matches

• 14:30 UTC Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos — model 9% / 16% / 75%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 11.11 · 6.25 · 1.33. One-sided: Panathinaikos
• 16:45 UTC FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia — model 48% / 27% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.70 · 4.00. Evenly matched
• 16:45 UTC Getafe vs FC Lugano — model 31% / 36% / 33%, most likely 0-0, fair odds 3.23 · 2.78 · 3.03. Tight game · draw in reach
• 16:45 UTC FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen — model 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.70 · 3.57. Evenly matched
• 16:45 UTC Trabzonspor vs Heart of Midlothian — model 63% / 21% / 16%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.59 · 4.76 · 6.25. Edge: Trabzonspor
• 16:45 UTC FK Jablonec vs Brighton — model 20% / 25% / 55%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 5.00 · 4.00 · 1.82. One-sided: Brighton
• 16:45 UTC Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova — model 23% / 25% / 52%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.35 · 4.00 · 1.92. One-sided: Universitatea Craiova
• 16:45 UTC Pafos vs Riga — model 79% / 14% / 7%, most likely 3-0, fair odds 1.27 · 7.14 · 14.29. One-sided: Pafos
• 16:45 UTC FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF — model 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.57 · 3.57. Evenly matched
• 16:45 UTC Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann — model 30% / 26% / 44%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.33 · 3.85 · 2.27. Edge: Brann
• 19:00 UTC Monaco vs SC Freiburg — model 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.85 · 3.45. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC Ajax vs Atalanta — model 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.57 · 3.33. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC SC Braga vs Gent — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden — model 51% / 25% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.00 · 4.17. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — model 69% / 19% / 12%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.45 · 5.26 · 8.33. One-sided: Aarhus
• 19:00 UTC Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente — model 13% / 22% / 65%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 7.69 · 4.55 · 1.54. One-sided: Twente
• 19:00 UTC FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split — model 34% / 26% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.85 · 2.50. Edge: HNK Hajduk Split
• 19:00 UTC Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS — model 56% / 25% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.79 · 4.00 · 5.26. Edge: Borac Banja Luka

Last round: the model's hits and misses

15 October: the model called the result of 6 of 10 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

• CSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco — the model said 27% / 25% / 48%, most likely 1-2: exact scoreline.
• Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland — the model said 16% / 22% / 62%, most likely 0-2: result missed.
• Gent 1–0 Aarhus — the model said 62% / 23% / 15%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax — the model said 28% / 28% / 44%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• KuPS 2–4 Trabzonspor — the model said 20% / 24% / 56%, most likely 0-2: result correct.
• FC Lugano 3–2 FK Crvena Zvezda — the model said 48% / 29% / 23%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Mjallby AIF 2–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes — the model said 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Panathinaikos 2–1 Borac Banja Luka — the model said 67% / 21% / 12%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Riga 1–1 Kairat Almaty — the model said 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Getafe — the model said 45% / 33% / 22%, most likely 1-0: result missed.