Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Club Queretaro 2-0 Atlante FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Club Queretaro, 27% draw, 23% Atlante FC — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Queretaro at 50% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25G. AllisonG
- 16E. GiménezD
- 13D. ReyesD
- 15C. VillanuevaD
- 27D. ParraD
- 4Carlo AdrianoM
- 5S. HomenchenkoM
- 7Iker BenitoM
- 11M. CoronelM
- 17D. MuñozM
- 9A. ÁvilaF
- 241Emiliano Guerrero RamírezM
- 197Joaquín Yael Cruz SosaM
- 30J. MartinezM
- 28J. ArellanoM
- 1J. HernándezG
- 29W. MadridM
- 8B. ParraM
- 26E. PérezF
- 23J. RoblesM
- 1Ó. JiménezG
- 29Walter PortalesD
- 6J. N. CarreraD
- 4E. TerceroD
- 44A. QuirozD
- 37W. ClarD
- 30M. SarrafioreM
- 8E. PizzutoM
- 19L. CalzadillaM
- 9L. PuenteF
- 7J. JulioF
- 15Jairón Andrés Charcopa CabezasF
- 18C. BermúdezM
- 22R. BarraganG
- 32D. BagüíD
- 25M. FernándezM
- 16José GonzálezM
- 34E. JiménezM
- 11Joaquin Alejandro Moxica ChapaF
- 3G. SánchezD
Form going into Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC
Club Queretaro
- W2-0away to Guadalajara Chivas26 September 2026
- D1-1Leon21 September 2026
- W1-0away to Club Tijuana12 September 2026
- W3-1away to Atlas29 August 2026
Atlante FC
- W4-2Monterrey26 September 2026
- D1-1away to Puebla19 September 2026
- L0-3CF Pachuca12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Atlas6 September 2026
What these results say
- Club Queretaro went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Club Queretaro scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Club Queretaro won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Atlante FC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Atlante FC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Atlante FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 20 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC
- 10 October 2026Club Queretaro 2–0 Atlante FCLiga MX
Leading scorers: Club Queretaro and Atlante FC
Club Queretaro
GoalsAssists
- S. Homenchenko52
- A. Ávila40
Atlante FC
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.