Fixtures & Predictions

Liga MX predictions

28 matches ahead, from 17 October to 29 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Cruz Azul, 67% against FC Juarez. 4 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC

Saturday 17 October — 5 matches

Sunday 18 October — 3 matches

Monday 19 October — 1 match

Wednesday 21 October — 4 matches

Thursday 22 October — 5 matches

  • 01:00 UTC Toluca vs Club Tijuana — model 54% / 24% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.85 · 4.17 · 4.55. Edge: Toluca
  • 01:00 UTC Atlas vs Club America — model 34% / 27% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.70 · 2.56. Edge: Club America
  • 01:00 UTC Puebla vs Monterrey — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 03:00 UTC Santos Laguna vs Pumas UNAM — model 37% / 26% / 37%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.85 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 03:00 UTC CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul — model 44% / 26% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.85 · 3.33. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 3 matches

  • 01:00 UTC Necaxa vs FC Juarez — model 51% / 24% / 25%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.17 · 4.00. Evenly matched
  • 03:00 UTC Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis — model 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.85 · 3.45. Evenly matched
  • 23:00 UTC Leon vs Toluca — model 32% / 26% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.85 · 2.38. Edge: Toluca

Sunday 25 October — 4 matches

  • 00:00 UTC Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas — model 34% / 27% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.70 · 2.56. Edge: Guadalajara Chivas
  • 03:00 UTC Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL — model 43% / 27% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.70 · 3.33. Evenly matched
  • 23:00 UTC Atlas vs Puebla — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Evenly matched
  • 23:00 UTC Club America vs CF Pachuca — model 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.85 · 3.85. Evenly matched

Monday 26 October — 2 matches

Thursday 29 October — 1 match

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10–12 October: the model called the result of 2 of 9 matches.

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