Fixtures & Predictions
Liga MX predictions
28 matches ahead, from 17 October to 29 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Cruz Azul, 67% against FC Juarez. 4 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.
1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC
Saturday 17 October — 5 matches
- 01:00 UTC Necaxa vs Atlas — model 40% / 26% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.85 · 2.94. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
- 03:00 UTC Club Tijuana vs Puebla — model 51% / 27% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.96 · 3.70 · 4.55. Head-to-head record. Edge: Club Tijuana
- 03:00 UTC Atlante FC vs Pumas UNAM — model 37% / 27% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.70 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
- 23:00 UTC Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro — model 32% / 30% / 38%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.33 · 2.63. Head-to-head record. Edge: Club Queretaro
- 23:07 UTC Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL — model 50% / 27% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.70 · 4.35. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
Sunday 18 October — 3 matches
Monday 19 October — 1 match
Wednesday 21 October — 4 matches
Thursday 22 October — 5 matches
- 01:00 UTC Toluca vs Club Tijuana — model 54% / 24% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.85 · 4.17 · 4.55. Edge: Toluca
- 01:00 UTC Atlas vs Club America — model 34% / 27% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.70 · 2.56. Edge: Club America
- 01:00 UTC Puebla vs Monterrey — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
- 03:00 UTC Santos Laguna vs Pumas UNAM — model 37% / 26% / 37%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.85 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
- 03:00 UTC CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul — model 44% / 26% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.85 · 3.33. Evenly matched
Saturday 24 October — 3 matches
- 01:00 UTC Necaxa vs FC Juarez — model 51% / 24% / 25%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.17 · 4.00. Evenly matched
- 03:00 UTC Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis — model 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.85 · 3.45. Evenly matched
- 23:00 UTC Leon vs Toluca — model 32% / 26% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.85 · 2.38. Edge: Toluca
Sunday 25 October — 4 matches
- 00:00 UTC Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas — model 34% / 27% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.70 · 2.56. Edge: Guadalajara Chivas
- 03:00 UTC Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL — model 43% / 27% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.70 · 3.33. Evenly matched
- 23:00 UTC Atlas vs Puebla — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Evenly matched
- 23:00 UTC Club America vs CF Pachuca — model 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.85 · 3.85. Evenly matched
Monday 26 October — 2 matches
Thursday 29 October — 1 match
Last round: the model's hits and misses
10–12 October: the model called the result of 2 of 9 matches.
Liga MX table · Accuracy by competition · Head-to-head records · All competitions