FC Copenhagen
vs
SC Braga
UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Copenhagen 3-0 SC Braga.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC Copenhagen, 26% draw, 35% SC Braga — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 1.58, SC Braga 1.47.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
More Conference League predictions
Model insights: FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Copenhagen at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga
FC Copenhagen
- L1-2away to FC Midtjylland11 October 2026
- W1-0away to Brondby20 September 2026
- W2-0AC Horsens11 September 2026
- W5-0away to Odense6 September 2026
- W2-0FC Nordsjaelland3 September 2026
SC Braga
- L1-3Sporting CP9 October 2026
- D0-0away to Santa Clara20 September 2026
- W1-0Estoril14 September 2026
- L1-2away to Estrela10 September 2026
- W2-1away to Alverca5 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Copenhagen scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Copenhagen won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Copenhagen kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- SC Braga scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
FC Copenhagen and SC Braga in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 24 |
| 9 | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Superliga · Primeira Liga
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga
- 15 October 2026FC Copenhagen 1–0 SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and SC Braga
FC Copenhagen
GoalsAssists
- M. Elyounoussi72
- B. Meling41
SC Braga
GoalsAssists
- Pau Victor31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Written before kick-off and left as it stood — the reading below is the model's pre-match case, not a view formed after the result.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
FC Copenhagen carry a model rating of 6.83 against 6.97 for SC Braga. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.58 goals for FC Copenhagen and 1.47 for SC Braga. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Copenhagen rate 1.03 in attack and 1.07 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; SC Braga rate 1.14 and 0.89.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.58 expected goals for FC Copenhagen against 1.47 for SC Braga. FC Copenhagen's attack/defence rating is 1.03/1.07 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.14/0.89 for SC Braga.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.