Hansa Rostock
vs
SV Meppen
3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: Hansa Rostock 0-2 SV Meppen.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Hansa Rostock, 25% draw, 22% SV Meppen — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Hansa Rostock 1.88, SV Meppen 1.00.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
More 3. Liga predictions
Model insights: Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hansa Rostock at 53% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 896 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen
Line-ups
- 1L. UnbehaunG
- 8Ouassim KaradaD
- 15A. GürleyenD
- 17F. CarstensD
- 32N. KölleD
- 5M. SchusterM
- 4K. FatkićM
- 27D. KopaczM
- 42B. DietzeM
- 43L. DajakuM
- 9A. VoglsammerF
- 3F. BohnertD
- 37M. BrzozowskiM
- 6J. DirknerM
- 11E. HoltenF
- 35M. KraußM
- 41Y. MichaelisF
- 31J. JantunenG
- 23F. PfanneD
- 22L. ReichardtD
- 44J. PüntG
- 2Dominique DomroseD
- 19L. SprekelmeyerD
- 33Stefan rankicD
- 3T. MißnerD
- 5J. FedlM
- 6E. ZehirM
- 31L. PrasseM
- 14T. DetersM
- 7O. SchmittM
- 17J. EhlersF
- 4Jona BorsumM
- 39F. BährD
- 1N. OberbeckG
- 11S. EngelmannF
- 10K. GhawiluM
- 13R. MeierF
- 20N. TougloD
- 23N. WesselsM
- 9C. AkonoF
Form going into Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen
Hansa Rostock
- W2-0away to Würzburger Kickers10 October 2026
- D1-1away to Rot-Weiß Essen20 September 2026
- W3-2Stuttgart II16 September 2026
- L0-4away to FC Viktoria Köln11 September 2026
SV Meppen
- D1-1Stuttgart II10 October 2026
- L0-1away to Hoffenheim II19 September 2026
- L1-3FC Viktoria Köln15 September 2026
- L1-2away to Verl12 September 2026
What these results say
- Hansa Rostock scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hansa Rostock conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- SV Meppen did not win any of these 4 matches.
- SV Meppen conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- SV Meppen scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
| 16 | SV Meppen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen
- 13 October 2026Hansa Rostock 0–2 SV Meppen3. Liga
- 24 April 2021SV Meppen 2–3 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 13 December 2020Hansa Rostock 0–2 SV Meppen3. Liga
- 6 June 2020SV Meppen 0–3 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 5 October 2019Hansa Rostock 2–1 SV Meppen3. Liga
- 23 February 2019Hansa Rostock 0–2 SV Meppen3. Liga
Leading scorers: Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen
Hansa Rostock
GoalsAssists
- M. Schuster10
SV Meppen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.88 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.00 for SV Meppen; the game produced 0 and 2.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Stefan rankic 73' (SV Meppen), Nikell Touglo 89' (SV Meppen).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hansa Rostock the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.88 expected goals for Hansa Rostock against 1.00 for SV Meppen. Hansa Rostock's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.84 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/1.83 for SV Meppen.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.