Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Virtus Entella 1-1 Juve Stabia.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Virtus Entella, 31% draw, 29% Juve Stabia — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Virtus Entella at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22F. Del FrateG
- 23L. ParodiD
- 6A. TiritielloD
- 27M. AlborghettiD
- 26Stefano Di MarioD
- 8L. VignaliM
- 5N. SquizzatoM
- 80L. BenedettiM
- 11Bernat GuiuM
- 24A. FranzoniF
- 10L. CupponeF
- 91S. ColombiG
- 18T. AnnoniM
- 9Giacomo CoronaF
- 55Lucas FelippeM
- 70Marwane KrittaD
- 94F. MezzoniM
- 39M. MotoleseD
- 3N. PrevitaliD
- 17M. TirelliF
- 23P. BoerG
- 96T. MaggioniD
- 87D. BettellaD
- 6M. BellichD
- 25T. DouglasD
- 10C. PierobonM
- 8D. BuglioM
- 24J. KumiM
- 37F. MaistroF
- 9Antonio Di NardoF
- 33G. SibilliF
- 4M. BaldiD
- 5T. BattistellaM
- 27L. CandelloneF
- 92F. GalleaD
- 17N. KarićM
- 77S. FernandesF
- 7Nicola PatanèF
- 11K. PiscopoF
- 2M. RicciardiD
Form going into Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
- D0-0away to Cremonese19 September 2026
- W4-1away to Pisa11 September 2026
- D2-2Vicenza Virtus6 September 2026
- L1-2Cesena29 August 2026
Juve Stabia
- D1-1Cesena18 September 2026
- D1-1away to Vicenza Virtus12 September 2026
- L0-3Pisa6 September 2026
- W2-1away to Sampdoria29 August 2026
What these results say
- Virtus Entella failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Virtus Entella scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Virtus Entella conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Juve Stabia conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Juve Stabia failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Juve Stabia scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 6 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia
- 10 October 2026Virtus Entella 1–1 Juve StabiaSerie B
- 24 January 2026Juve Stabia 1–0 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 23 August 2025Virtus Entella 1–1 Juve StabiaSerie B
- 10 July 2020Juve Stabia 1–1 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 1 December 2019Virtus Entella 2–0 Juve StabiaSerie B
- 18 May 2019Juve Stabia 2–2 Virtus EntellaSerie C - Girone A
Leading scorers: Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Juve Stabia
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Di Nardo40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.