Serie B predictions

Friday 16 October — 1 match

• 18:30 UTC Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro — model 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.85 · 4.17. Edge: Hellas Verona

Saturday 17 October — 6 matches

• 13:00 UTC Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus — model 59% / 24% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.69 · 4.17 · 5.88. Edge: Benevento
• 13:00 UTC Ascoli vs Empoli — model 52% / 28% / 20%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.92 · 3.57 · 5.00. Edge: Ascoli
• 13:00 UTC Padova vs Virtus Entella — model 38% / 31% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.23 · 3.23. Evenly matched
• 13:00 UTC Carrarese vs Modena — model 33% / 31% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.23 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
• 15:15 UTC Mantova vs Palermo — model 38% / 26% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.85 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
• 17:30 UTC Pisa vs Cremonese — model 38% / 29% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.45 · 3.03. Evenly matched

Sunday 18 October — 3 matches

• 13:00 UTC Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol — model 37% / 32% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.13 · 3.23. Evenly matched
• 15:15 UTC Cesena vs Avellino — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 17:30 UTC Sampdoria vs Arezzo — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70. Evenly matched

Friday 23 October — 1 match

• 18:30 UTC Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus — model 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.85 · 3.85. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 7 matches

• 13:00 UTC Cremonese vs Juve Stabia — model 51% / 28% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.96 · 3.57 · 4.76. Edge: Cremonese
• 13:00 UTC Virtus Entella vs Mantova — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
• 13:00 UTC Avellino vs Padova — model 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.45 · 4.00. Evenly matched
• 13:00 UTC Modena vs Cesena — model 54% / 26% / 20%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.85 · 3.85 · 5.00. Edge: Modena
• 13:00 UTC Sudtirol vs Sampdoria — model 49% / 30% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.33 · 4.76. Edge: Sudtirol
• 15:15 UTC Catanzaro vs Ascoli — model 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.45 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 17:30 UTC Arezzo vs Benevento — model 26% / 28% / 46%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.85 · 3.57 · 2.17. One-sided: Benevento

Sunday 25 October — 2 matches

• 14:00 UTC Palermo vs Carrarese — model 55% / 26% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.85 · 5.26. Edge: Palermo
• 16:15 UTC Hellas Verona vs Pisa — model 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.45 · 3.70. Evenly matched

Tuesday 27 October — 7 matches

• 18:00 UTC Benevento vs Catanzaro — model 49% / 26% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.85 · 4.00. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC Ascoli vs Sampdoria — model 54% / 28% / 18%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.85 · 3.57 · 5.56. Edge: Ascoli
• 19:00 UTC Cesena vs Empoli — model 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.57 · 3.33. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC Virtus Entella vs Avellino — model 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.45 · 3.13. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC Padova vs Sudtirol — model 34% / 32% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.94 · 3.13 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
• 19:00 UTC Vicenza Virtus vs Modena — model 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.57 · 3.70 · 2.22. Edge: Modena
• 19:00 UTC Mantova vs Cremonese — model 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.57 · 3.03. Evenly matched

Wednesday 28 October — 3 matches

• 18:00 UTC Pisa vs Palermo — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 19:00 UTC Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona — model 32% / 31% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.23 · 2.70. Edge: Hellas Verona
• 19:00 UTC Carrarese vs Arezzo — model 50% / 27% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.70 · 4.35. Edge: Carrarese

Last round: the model's hits and misses

9–11 October: the model called the result of 5 of 10 matches.

• Avellino 4–1 Sampdoria — the model said 44% / 30% / 26%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Benevento 2–0 Cesena — the model said 50% / 27% / 23%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Empoli 2–4 Palermo — the model said 29% / 29% / 42%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
• Virtus Entella 1–1 Juve Stabia — the model said 40% / 31% / 29%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Sudtirol 0–0 Ascoli — the model said 37% / 31% / 32%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Vicenza Virtus 0–3 Pisa — the model said 35% / 27% / 38%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
• Arezzo 0–0 Cremonese — the model said 26% / 26% / 48%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• Catanzaro 1–3 Mantova — the model said 45% / 25% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Padova 0–2 Carrarese — the model said 44% / 30% / 26%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona — the model said 39% / 31% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result correct.