Bundesliga predictions & fixtures

Friday 16 October — 1 match

18:30 UTC Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln — model 52% / 22% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.92 · 4.55 · 3.85. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched

13:30 UTC Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 — model 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.45 · 4.00. Head-to-head record. Edge: Werder Bremen
13:30 UTC FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Head-to-head record. Tight game · draw in reach
13:30 UTC Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — model 25% / 24% / 51%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.00 · 4.17 · 1.96. Head-to-head record. One-sided: VfB Stuttgart
13:30 UTC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — model 15% / 21% / 64%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 6.67 · 4.76 · 1.56. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Borussia Dortmund
13:30 UTC SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg — model 40% / 25% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 4.00 · 2.86. Evenly matched
16:30 UTC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — model 57% / 21% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.75 · 4.76 · 4.55. Head-to-head record. Edge: Bayern München

13:30 UTC Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg — model 49% / 23% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.04 · 4.35 · 3.57. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
15:30 UTC Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim — model 36% / 24% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.78 · 4.17 · 2.50. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched

18:30 UTC VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — model 62% / 20% / 18%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.61 · 5.00 · 5.56. One-sided: VfB Stuttgart

13:30 UTC FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen — model 46% / 25% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 4.00 · 3.45. Evenly matched
13:30 UTC FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin — model 57% / 22% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.75 · 4.55 · 4.76. Edge: FC Augsburg
13:30 UTC RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg — model 59% / 22% / 19%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.69 · 4.55 · 5.26. Edge: RB Leipzig
13:30 UTC SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV — model 37% / 31% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.23 · 3.13. Evenly matched
13:30 UTC 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 — model 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.86 · 3.45 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
16:30 UTC Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt — model 68% / 18% / 14%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.47 · 5.56 · 7.14. One-sided: Borussia Dortmund

14:30 UTC 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen — model 24% / 21% / 55%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.17 · 4.76 · 1.82. One-sided: Bayer Leverkusen
16:30 UTC SC Freiburg vs Bayern München — model 26% / 22% / 52%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.85 · 4.55 · 1.92. One-sided: Bayern München

9–11 October: the model called the result of 5 of 9 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen — the model said 70% / 19% / 11%, most likely 2-0: result missed.
1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV — the model said 55% / 23% / 22%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München — the model said 17% / 19% / 64%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen — the model said 28% / 24% / 48%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Union Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg — the model said 27% / 23% / 50%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart — the model said 29% / 28% / 43%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt — the model said 54% / 22% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach — the model said 43% / 25% / 32%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
SC Freiburg 2–1 FC Schalke 04 — the model said 53% / 26% / 21%, most likely 1-0: result correct.