Regular Season - 4 · 13 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra Botola Pro prediction & result

Stade Municipal de Berkane, Belkan
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Renaissance Berkane 2-2 CR Khemis Zemamra.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Renaissance Berkane, 27% draw, 23% CR Khemis Zemamra — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (12%).

Expected goals: Renaissance Berkane 1.62, CR Khemis Zemamra 0.91.

Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.

Model confidence: High.

Published · updated

More Botola Pro predictions

Model insights: Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra

48%
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-0 12%1-1 12%2-0 10%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Renaissance Berkane at 50% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽Jamal Harkass (OG)
8'
⚽Youness moukhlis
44'
Anass ghanouj el
🔁Oussama Haddadiout: Haytam Manaout
46'
⚽Jamal Harkassassist: Ismael Kandouss
56'
65'
🔁Oussama El Attarout: Abdelaziz hamzaoui el
65'
🔁aymen aatga elout: Mouad Mouzalim
🔁Youssef Mehriout: Omar El Manssouri
66'
🔁Ryan Mendesout: younes kaabi el
66'
🔁Youssef Aït Bennasserout: Ayoub Khairi
70'
71'
🔁Anass ghanouj elout: Amine El Moutaouakil
81'
🔁Zakaria Ajoughlalout: bilal soufi
81'
🔁Youness moukhlisout: Mouad Rahni
85'
Abdelaziz hamzaoui el
🔁Hamza El Moussaouiout: mohamed ouyahia
87'
⚽younes kaabi elassist: Haytam Manaout
87'

Match stats — Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra

73%Possession27%
15Shots6
5On target2
12Corners1

Line-ups

Renaissance Berkane
  • 6Y. Aït BennasserM
  • 1Munir El KajouiG
  • 11Y. MehriF
  • 9O. LamlaouiF
  • 17Y. LabhiriF
  • 27I. KandoussD
  • 5J. HarkassD
  • 4O. HaddadiD
  • 19H. El MoussaouiD
  • 23M. ChouiarF
  • 10Ryan MendesF
Substitutes
  • 14R. AabidF
  • 21Y. El KaabiF
  • 26O. El ManssouriM
  • 18Mohammed Amine EssahelM
  • 8A. KhairiM
  • 15A. LamiratD
  • 12M. MaftahG
  • 20H. ManaoutD
  • 32mohamed ouyahiaM
Coach: Bubista
CR Khemis Zemamra
  • 22M. FerniG
  • 19M. AbdouramaneD
  • 2J. AjakoD
  • 10Z. AjoughlalM
  • 16Oussama dahrM
  • 14aymen aatga elD
  • 70O. Elattar
  • 51A. El GhannoujM
  • 77J. EssaghirF
  • 7Youness moukhlisF
  • 31M. KamalF
Substitutes
  • 3Ousmane DialloD
  • 17A. El HamzaouiF
  • 30Amine El MoutaouakilM
  • 1M. FakhrG
  • 20Issam JaafraF
  • 13Mouad Mouzalim
  • 18Mouad RahniF
  • 4B. SoufiD
  • 24Hassane adamouM
Coach: Mehdi Mrani Alaoui

Form going into Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra

Renaissance Berkane

  • D0-0away to UTS Rabat8 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Moghreb Tetouan27 September 2026

CR Khemis Zemamra

  • L2-5Hassania Agadir8 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Raja Casablanca3 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Maghreb Fès27 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Botola Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Renaissance Berkane30302203
16CR Khemis Zemamra4013510-51

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra

  • 24 May 2026Renaissance Berkane 1–0 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
  • 18 February 2026CR Khemis Zemamra 1–2 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
  • 16 February 2025Renaissance Berkane 1–0 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
  • 18 October 2024CR Khemis Zemamra 1–3 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
  • 13 June 2024Renaissance Berkane 1–2 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
  • 7 January 2024CR Khemis Zemamra 2–1 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.62 goals for Renaissance Berkane and 0.91 for CR Khemis Zemamra; the game produced 2 and 2.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Jamal Harkass 5' (CR Khemis Zemamra), Youness moukhlis 8' (CR Khemis Zemamra), Jamal Harkass 56' (Renaissance Berkane), younes kaabi el 87' (Renaissance Berkane).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Renaissance Berkane the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.62 expected goals for Renaissance Berkane against 0.91 for CR Khemis Zemamra. Renaissance Berkane's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.39 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/2.14 for CR Khemis Zemamra.