Colorado Rapids
vs
Minnesota United FC
Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Colorado Rapids 2-2 Minnesota United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Colorado Rapids, 26% draw, 30% Minnesota United FC — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Colorado Rapids 1.77, Minnesota United FC 1.40.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
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Model insights: Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Colorado Rapids at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 8H. OjediranM
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 7M. WhittakerF
- 32D. PhillipF
- 77D. YapiF
- 12J. AtencioM
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 24N. CobbD
- 16A. HarrisF
- 93G. MinoungouF
- 11I. SadiqF
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 99J. TravisD
- 9S. AbuF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 52Cherrion ValeriusD
- 28J. DíazD
- 15M. BoxallD
- 23M. DugganD
- 21B. HlongwaneM
- 30O. GeneM
- 20W. TrappM
- 8T. ChancalayM
- 9K. YeboahF
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 25N. TriantisD
- 27D. TaylorD
- 5N. RomeroD
- 94Kayne RizvanovichG
- 26J. PereyraM
- 11M. MaloneF
- 16A. JacksonM
- 18M. GonzalezF
- 3K. DuncanD
Form going into Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
- D1-1San Jose Earthquakes11 October 2026
- L2-3away to Los Angeles Galaxy27 September 2026
- D3-3Seattle Sounders20 September 2026
- W1-0CF Montreal13 September 2026
Minnesota United FC
- D2-2Houston Dynamo11 October 2026
- L1-3away to Seattle Sounders27 September 2026
- L2-3Los Angeles Galaxy20 September 2026
- L2-4away to St. Louis City13 September 2026
What these results say
- Colorado Rapids scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Colorado Rapids failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Colorado Rapids conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Minnesota United FC did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Minnesota United FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Minnesota United FC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
- 14 May 2026Minnesota United FC 0–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 28 September 2025Colorado Rapids 1–1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 10 August 2025Minnesota United FC 1–2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 29 September 2024Minnesota United FC 3–0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 26 May 2024Colorado Rapids 3–3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 31 August 2023Minnesota United FC 3–0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 41 league goals as a side.
Minnesota United FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Yeboah152
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.77 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.40 for Minnesota United FC; the game produced 2 and 2.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Darren Yapi 45' (Colorado Rapids), Kelvin Yeboah 52' (Minnesota United FC), Georgi Minoungou 74' (Colorado Rapids), Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés 83' (Minnesota United FC).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Colorado Rapids the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.77 expected goals for Colorado Rapids against 1.40 for Minnesota United FC. Colorado Rapids's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.69 for Minnesota United FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.